1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:05,990 [Music] 2 00:00:11,870 --> 00:00:09,110 welcome to the skeptic zone the podcast 3 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:11,880 from Australia for science and reason 4 00:00:26,179 --> 00:00:23,330 [Music] 5 00:00:30,230 --> 00:00:26,189 yes it's a skeptic zone podcast episode 6 00:00:32,210 --> 00:00:30,240 number 601 for the 19th of April 2020 7 00:00:34,910 --> 00:00:32,220 Richard Saunders here with you from 8 00:00:37,310 --> 00:00:34,920 Sydney Australia and on the other side 9 00:00:39,410 --> 00:00:37,320 of the world this week's special co-host 10 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:39,420 it's Celestia ward all the way in Las 11 00:00:44,930 --> 00:00:42,330 Vegas hi Celestia hi Richard how are you 12 00:00:47,210 --> 00:00:44,940 doing I'm doing really well considering 13 00:00:50,329 --> 00:00:47,220 all things considering Sydney's not 14 00:00:52,340 --> 00:00:50,339 doing too bad I must say I mean there 15 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:52,350 are a lot of people in a very tough 16 00:00:56,029 --> 00:00:53,610 situation of course with the 17 00:00:58,549 --> 00:00:56,039 unemployment but by and large I think 18 00:01:00,529 --> 00:00:58,559 Australia's not doing as bad as many 19 00:01:04,430 --> 00:01:00,539 other places in the world what's life 20 00:01:06,950 --> 00:01:04,440 like in Las Vegas under these conditions 21 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:06,960 and I really can't imagine Las Vegas 22 00:01:12,230 --> 00:01:09,450 being anything other than bubbling and 23 00:01:15,290 --> 00:01:12,240 crazy well it's always gonna be a little 24 00:01:17,570 --> 00:01:15,300 bit crazy here but yeah you were saying 25 00:01:19,730 --> 00:01:17,580 that Australia is coping fairly well so 26 00:01:21,710 --> 00:01:19,740 I take it you're your main source of 27 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:21,720 income and entire reason for being 28 00:01:28,730 --> 00:01:26,090 hasn't completely drained away well 29 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:28,740 Sydney Australia is quite diverse in 30 00:01:32,719 --> 00:01:30,450 that respect but I can understand what 31 00:01:37,010 --> 00:01:32,729 you're saying I mean Las Vegas is is a 32 00:01:38,960 --> 00:01:37,020 tourist town yeah yeah we almost of most 33 00:01:41,749 --> 00:01:38,970 of the people I know certainly make 34 00:01:43,850 --> 00:01:41,759 their money due to the tourist income or 35 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:43,860 indirectly because of the tourist income 36 00:01:49,389 --> 00:01:46,770 and we have no tourists now I gotta say 37 00:01:52,130 --> 00:01:49,399 I'm very pleased with the powers-that-be 38 00:01:54,050 --> 00:01:52,140 that they decided to shut things down as 39 00:01:56,479 --> 00:01:54,060 early as they did I honestly thought 40 00:01:58,010 --> 00:01:56,489 they would be holdouts and try to keep 41 00:01:59,870 --> 00:01:58,020 everything open and all the money 42 00:02:02,180 --> 00:01:59,880 flowing in and all the tourists drinking 43 00:02:04,580 --> 00:02:02,190 their martinis until the very last 44 00:02:08,150 --> 00:02:04,590 moment and so I was really bracing for a 45 00:02:10,010 --> 00:02:08,160 terrible just a terrible outbreak here 46 00:02:12,470 --> 00:02:10,020 because it could really spread in our 47 00:02:15,860 --> 00:02:12,480 casino and our casino floors are pretty 48 00:02:18,050 --> 00:02:15,870 packed with people all the time Wow 49 00:02:19,369 --> 00:02:18,060 I mean again it's you're right and on 50 00:02:21,410 --> 00:02:19,379 every time I've been there for the 51 00:02:23,210 --> 00:02:21,420 amazing meeting or what have you it's 52 00:02:26,270 --> 00:02:23,220 just been people people people let's do 53 00:02:27,949 --> 00:02:26,280 something crazy yes so I am more than 54 00:02:30,380 --> 00:02:27,959 happy to sit this out in fact there's a 55 00:02:32,869 --> 00:02:30,390 there's some local wrangling going on 56 00:02:34,640 --> 00:02:32,879 between our mayor Carolyn Goodman the 57 00:02:38,210 --> 00:02:34,650 mayor of Las Vegas is our 58 00:02:39,890 --> 00:02:38,220 viewing with the governor of Nevada the 59 00:02:43,100 --> 00:02:39,900 mayor wants to open things up right away 60 00:02:45,170 --> 00:02:43,110 and the governor wants to like hold off 61 00:02:47,210 --> 00:02:45,180 and just take the natural steps you 62 00:02:49,009 --> 00:02:47,220 would need to take scientifically to 63 00:02:52,250 --> 00:02:49,019 make sure we aren't going to end up with 64 00:02:54,920 --> 00:02:52,260 a surge of cases mmm week after we open 65 00:02:57,319 --> 00:02:54,930 the what's making the news here as I 66 00:02:59,240 --> 00:02:57,329 record various protests across the 67 00:03:01,420 --> 00:02:59,250 United States people out in their pickup 68 00:03:04,670 --> 00:03:01,430 trucks and their big flags and their 69 00:03:06,649 --> 00:03:04,680 overalls railing and saying how dare we 70 00:03:08,990 --> 00:03:06,659 you do this lockout this is against the 71 00:03:11,599 --> 00:03:09,000 Constitution I'm being stepped on I've 72 00:03:14,629 --> 00:03:11,609 got the rights and they're all cozying 73 00:03:17,780 --> 00:03:14,639 up together and I I just dread to think 74 00:03:19,940 --> 00:03:17,790 what might happen yeah is that I hope 75 00:03:22,460 --> 00:03:19,950 that's not the picture that every 76 00:03:25,129 --> 00:03:22,470 everybody outside the United States has 77 00:03:27,860 --> 00:03:25,139 of every American that's that's a small 78 00:03:32,330 --> 00:03:27,870 subset of our population that does not 79 00:03:34,220 --> 00:03:32,340 represent our entire population and yeah 80 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:34,230 I'm just as far as you that's the same 81 00:03:38,149 --> 00:03:35,970 group of people that also will be 82 00:03:41,210 --> 00:03:38,159 protesting against vaccinations and 83 00:03:45,250 --> 00:03:41,220 other science based interventions that 84 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:45,260 are meant to help you know public health 85 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:47,370 near as I can figure I think I'm gonna 86 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:49,530 start you know circulating a rumor a 87 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:52,290 conspiracy that that the virus was 88 00:03:57,830 --> 00:03:54,930 released by the government in order to 89 00:03:59,839 --> 00:03:57,840 make people who had a strong sense of 90 00:04:02,210 --> 00:03:59,849 freedom and independence go out and 91 00:04:04,219 --> 00:04:02,220 protest and then get killed off right 92 00:04:06,530 --> 00:04:04,229 away so that there would be no more 93 00:04:08,180 --> 00:04:06,540 resistance so if you are a person with a 94 00:04:10,819 --> 00:04:08,190 strong sense of independence and freedom 95 00:04:13,250 --> 00:04:10,829 you should stay inside right now so that 96 00:04:15,469 --> 00:04:13,260 you're available to fight later yeah 97 00:04:20,750 --> 00:04:15,479 good luck with that that that requires 98 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:20,760 some level of thinking I haven't seen 99 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:23,490 much evidence of that amongst a certain 100 00:04:26,930 --> 00:04:25,050 group of the population well all around 101 00:04:29,450 --> 00:04:26,940 the world really this and talking about 102 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:29,460 that togi about people who aren't 103 00:04:33,439 --> 00:04:31,770 exhibiting a great deal of intelligence 104 00:04:36,020 --> 00:04:33,449 one of the segments on this week's 105 00:04:38,870 --> 00:04:36,030 episode of the skeptic zone coming on a 106 00:04:40,879 --> 00:04:38,880 little bit later on we look at past 107 00:04:43,519 --> 00:04:40,889 winners of the Australian skeptics bent 108 00:04:46,430 --> 00:04:43,529 spoon award who have suddenly and 109 00:04:48,129 --> 00:04:46,440 dramatically come back to try to claim 110 00:04:51,070 --> 00:04:48,139 the award again and 111 00:04:53,559 --> 00:04:51,080 these are all people vaguely you know 112 00:04:57,600 --> 00:04:53,569 you could vaguely say are involved in 113 00:05:00,100 --> 00:04:57,610 the health industry in some tenuous way 114 00:05:02,260 --> 00:05:00,110 making all sorts of crazy claims about 115 00:05:04,059 --> 00:05:02,270 covert 19 what you can do or what you 116 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:04,069 shouldn't do about it you must be 117 00:05:08,290 --> 00:05:05,930 getting some crazy claims over there oh 118 00:05:10,269 --> 00:05:08,300 heavens yes yeah we've got our fair 119 00:05:12,670 --> 00:05:10,279 share of chiropractors saying that they 120 00:05:15,550 --> 00:05:12,680 can offer you know some immune boosting 121 00:05:18,309 --> 00:05:15,560 spinal adjustments and essential oils 122 00:05:20,170 --> 00:05:18,319 people and even on one of my favorite 123 00:05:22,809 --> 00:05:20,180 cooking shows it's annoying because one 124 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:22,819 of the hosts of the cooking shows keeps 125 00:05:26,050 --> 00:05:24,289 talking about how oh you should cook 126 00:05:27,610 --> 00:05:26,060 with this herb in that herb because 127 00:05:29,529 --> 00:05:27,620 these are known to both boost your 128 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:29,539 immunity I read all about it I'm like I 129 00:05:36,399 --> 00:05:32,810 bet you do oh well okay so it's not just 130 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:36,409 confined to Australia I see but coming 131 00:05:40,089 --> 00:05:38,090 up I must say coming up at the top of 132 00:05:42,490 --> 00:05:40,099 the show we talked about well bird this 133 00:05:43,959 --> 00:05:42,500 is hard to get away from Kovach 19 we 134 00:05:46,510 --> 00:05:43,969 talked to Michael Marshall from the good 135 00:05:48,459 --> 00:05:46,520 thinking society in the UK and he's 136 00:05:50,709 --> 00:05:48,469 going to talk to us about his podcast to 137 00:05:52,869 --> 00:05:50,719 be reasonable and also some of the 138 00:05:55,179 --> 00:05:52,879 investigations the good thinking society 139 00:05:57,219 --> 00:05:55,189 is done into claims made by UK 140 00:06:00,490 --> 00:05:57,229 homeopaths when it comes to treating 141 00:06:01,029 --> 00:06:00,500 covered 19 Michael Marshall has been a 142 00:06:03,249 --> 00:06:01,039 longtime 143 00:06:05,050 --> 00:06:03,259 guest regular guest on the skipping so 144 00:06:06,969 --> 00:06:05,060 and so look forward to that wonderful 145 00:06:08,290 --> 00:06:06,979 also coming up this week we have 146 00:06:11,170 --> 00:06:08,300 Michelle Vickers male with her 147 00:06:12,879 --> 00:06:11,180 continuing segment logical fallacies 148 00:06:16,089 --> 00:06:12,889 this week we're going to look at special 149 00:06:18,700 --> 00:06:16,099 pleading now this is when this is when 150 00:06:20,709 --> 00:06:18,710 you might the best example I know 151 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:20,719 awarded diviners and psychics when they 152 00:06:25,510 --> 00:06:22,370 fail a test they'll come up with a oh 153 00:06:27,219 --> 00:06:25,520 yeah but that's because my my shoes were 154 00:06:31,809 --> 00:06:27,229 wrong today you know things like that 155 00:06:34,089 --> 00:06:31,819 this or the best one of all is they'll 156 00:06:34,659 --> 00:06:34,099 say oh yes but you can't test psychic 157 00:06:38,170 --> 00:06:34,669 powers 158 00:06:39,639 --> 00:06:38,180 I remember hearing lots of funny special 159 00:06:40,990 --> 00:06:39,649 pleading when we used to do the test in 160 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:41,000 Las Vegas of course at the amazing 161 00:06:44,889 --> 00:06:43,610 meeting then to round off the oh yeah 162 00:06:47,019 --> 00:06:44,899 you were there that's where I met you 163 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:47,029 wasn't at an amazing meeting oh it must 164 00:06:50,499 --> 00:06:47,930 have been years ago 165 00:06:53,980 --> 00:06:50,509 I've known you for gosh it has it been 166 00:06:55,749 --> 00:06:53,990 like a decade yet quite possibly because 167 00:06:59,110 --> 00:06:55,759 I remember you were there and you gave 168 00:07:01,300 --> 00:06:59,120 me one of your cards because so as some 169 00:07:03,370 --> 00:07:01,310 people might know there's a 170 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:03,380 caricature of me with Pegasus the pig 171 00:07:08,590 --> 00:07:05,210 and a bed spoon which I've been using 172 00:07:10,660 --> 00:07:08,600 for some years and now and Maynard's 173 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:10,670 cartoon character which I'm sure 174 00:07:15,130 --> 00:07:13,250 everybody's familiar with in our main 175 00:07:16,870 --> 00:07:15,140 art is a cartoon characters a cartoon 176 00:07:18,550 --> 00:07:16,880 character him behind the desk that's all 177 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:18,560 your work that's all you are 178 00:07:22,390 --> 00:07:19,970 now before we mentioned the last segment 179 00:07:24,220 --> 00:07:22,400 coming up on this week's show you of 180 00:07:26,470 --> 00:07:24,230 course make your living doing 181 00:07:29,590 --> 00:07:26,480 caricatures on the strip and around Las 182 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:29,600 Vegas and I know it's tough for you at 183 00:07:33,730 --> 00:07:32,090 the moment where can people go to check 184 00:07:36,550 --> 00:07:33,740 out your wonderful work and possibly 185 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:36,560 score a commission from you Oh actually 186 00:07:42,310 --> 00:07:39,170 many of the artists and content 187 00:07:44,380 --> 00:07:42,320 providers out there are having sort of 188 00:07:47,260 --> 00:07:44,390 it not so much that everything must go 189 00:07:50,290 --> 00:07:47,270 sale as and everything must please keep 190 00:07:51,430 --> 00:07:50,300 going a little bit sale rush and I've 191 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:51,440 done the same thing I've wiped 192 00:07:55,450 --> 00:07:53,450 everything off of my website as far as 193 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:55,460 live performance because obviously I'm 194 00:07:59,920 --> 00:07:56,690 not going to be drawing at any any 195 00:08:02,860 --> 00:07:59,930 high-end conventions or exclusive 196 00:08:04,660 --> 00:08:02,870 parties this month but I'm offering a 197 00:08:07,060 --> 00:08:04,670 digital quickie Commission I'm doing 198 00:08:09,150 --> 00:08:07,070 like $30 quick digital caricatures if 199 00:08:13,390 --> 00:08:09,160 people are interested they can check out 200 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:13,400 ww2 heads studios.com and that's what 201 00:08:17,740 --> 00:08:16,010 the numeral two will put a link in this 202 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:17,750 week's show notes but it's true so last 203 00:08:24,490 --> 00:08:22,010 year everybody I know suddenly well I 204 00:08:26,950 --> 00:08:24,500 guess we all have to adjust to a new way 205 00:08:28,930 --> 00:08:26,960 of working don't we and we will we're 206 00:08:31,420 --> 00:08:28,940 gonna get this is not gonna end us this 207 00:08:34,300 --> 00:08:31,430 is just gonna be an interesting time in 208 00:08:36,010 --> 00:08:34,310 history certainly is we're living 209 00:08:37,660 --> 00:08:36,020 through it and around off the show it's 210 00:08:41,110 --> 00:08:37,670 the book of Tim with Tim Mendham and 211 00:08:43,660 --> 00:08:41,120 this week Tim will review the science of 212 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:43,670 miracles a book by Joe Nickell the 213 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:46,850 famous paranormal investigator 214 00:08:51,150 --> 00:08:49,490 well Celestia I think it's time we 215 00:08:53,770 --> 00:08:51,160 should get on with the show 216 00:08:57,340 --> 00:08:53,780 absolutely I'm gonna run to the kitchen 217 00:08:59,710 --> 00:08:57,350 and I think I will scoop out some of the 218 00:09:02,320 --> 00:08:59,720 homemade hummus I made earlier in my 219 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:02,330 food processor because you got all the 220 00:09:07,030 --> 00:09:03,650 time in the world now to make special 221 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:07,040 fancy recipes and I'll have that with 222 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:10,730 some toasted pita bread ooh while you do 223 00:09:14,020 --> 00:09:12,890 that I hope we all enjoy the skeptics 224 00:09:35,990 --> 00:09:14,030 urns 225 00:09:38,610 --> 00:09:36,000 [Music] 226 00:09:40,890 --> 00:09:38,620 and joining me now on the line all the 227 00:09:42,690 --> 00:09:40,900 way from locked-down Liverpool it's 228 00:09:45,150 --> 00:09:42,700 Michael Marshall from the good thinking 229 00:09:47,250 --> 00:09:45,160 society hi Marshall hey Richard how you 230 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:47,260 doing you know what it's not too bad 231 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:48,730 here in Sydney Australia it's a nice 232 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:52,170 sunny day outside I'll go out for my 233 00:09:57,630 --> 00:09:54,370 government-authorized exercise a bit 234 00:09:59,940 --> 00:09:57,640 later on and um I'll be sure to listen 235 00:10:02,130 --> 00:09:59,950 to the latest skeptics with a K or even 236 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:02,140 a back issue a back episode as you can 237 00:10:07,590 --> 00:10:05,770 say of be reasonable and let me talk 238 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:07,600 about be reasonable for a moment because 239 00:10:11,550 --> 00:10:09,490 I keep running promotions for that 240 00:10:15,300 --> 00:10:11,560 because I think it's such a worthwhile 241 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:15,310 podcast now I think that's on hiatus at 242 00:10:22,050 --> 00:10:18,370 the moment yeah it is it's been tricky 243 00:10:23,850 --> 00:10:22,060 so it's such a strange Shore to do so if 244 00:10:25,740 --> 00:10:23,860 people don't know be reasonable to show 245 00:10:27,900 --> 00:10:25,750 or I interview someone who is from the 246 00:10:30,930 --> 00:10:27,910 complete opposite side of an issue to 247 00:10:32,430 --> 00:10:30,940 the one that we skeptics would be on but 248 00:10:34,710 --> 00:10:32,440 instead of having an agressive 249 00:10:37,560 --> 00:10:34,720 conversation or a debate or a kind of 250 00:10:38,970 --> 00:10:37,570 trying to win the argument I try and 251 00:10:40,530 --> 00:10:38,980 actually hear from them and listen to 252 00:10:42,180 --> 00:10:40,540 them understand what kind of got them to 253 00:10:43,650 --> 00:10:42,190 that position and it's a sure I've been 254 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:43,660 doing for quite long years but I haven't 255 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:45,010 read I haven't done episode for quite 256 00:10:49,710 --> 00:10:48,010 some time now and yeah it's it's partly 257 00:10:51,690 --> 00:10:49,720 tricky because the one thing I don't 258 00:10:53,100 --> 00:10:51,700 want to do is continually repeat the 259 00:10:54,870 --> 00:10:53,110 same subjects and we have yet another 260 00:10:57,450 --> 00:10:54,880 conversation with a psychic and that 261 00:11:00,210 --> 00:10:57,460 kind of play out in a way that is less 262 00:11:01,740 --> 00:11:00,220 informative and the other thing is when 263 00:11:03,740 --> 00:11:01,750 you have so many other things going on 264 00:11:06,330 --> 00:11:03,750 it's quite it takes quite a lot of 265 00:11:07,620 --> 00:11:06,340 mental energy to be in the right space 266 00:11:08,820 --> 00:11:07,630 to do it and I've sort of struggled with 267 00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:08,830 that for a little bit but it's still a 268 00:11:14,580 --> 00:11:11,650 project I care a lot about and I do 269 00:11:16,500 --> 00:11:14,590 fully intend to to get episodes up and 270 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:16,510 running again just as soon as I find a 271 00:11:19,950 --> 00:11:18,610 moment among the time and strange enough 272 00:11:21,750 --> 00:11:19,960 being in lockdown the amount of time 273 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:21,760 that I have seems to have gotten much 274 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:24,010 much smaller rather than more plentiful 275 00:11:29,430 --> 00:11:26,770 at the moment now you probably find 276 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:29,440 somebody who will tell you all about 5g 277 00:11:33,730 --> 00:11:31,450 in coronavirus that the right things 278 00:11:35,590 --> 00:11:33,740 that going now folks be reasonable I 279 00:11:36,970 --> 00:11:35,600 as I say I keep running promotions for 280 00:11:39,130 --> 00:11:36,980 it because it is a really worthwhile 281 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:39,140 podcast for any skeptic to listen to 282 00:11:44,950 --> 00:11:42,650 because you really do Marsh you really 283 00:11:47,740 --> 00:11:44,960 do get into the mind of the believer 284 00:11:49,090 --> 00:11:47,750 because of your the attitude you take on 285 00:11:52,570 --> 00:11:49,100 the show which is really more of a 286 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:52,580 gentle conversation mmm well I think 287 00:11:56,740 --> 00:11:53,770 it's really important for us to 288 00:11:58,990 --> 00:11:56,750 understand what the people we disagree 289 00:12:01,110 --> 00:11:59,000 with actually think otherwise what we 290 00:12:03,610 --> 00:12:01,120 end up doing is we end up constructing 291 00:12:05,560 --> 00:12:03,620 elaborate straw men that actually bear 292 00:12:07,500 --> 00:12:05,570 almost no resemblance to the to the 293 00:12:10,180 --> 00:12:07,510 actual ideas that we're that we're 294 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:10,190 countering and disagreeing with so it's 295 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:12,050 that that principle really is if you 296 00:12:16,150 --> 00:12:14,210 want to debunk an argument you have to 297 00:12:18,130 --> 00:12:16,160 first listen to the argument and 298 00:12:20,500 --> 00:12:18,140 understand it because if we just go 299 00:12:22,060 --> 00:12:20,510 around assuming what everybody we 300 00:12:24,130 --> 00:12:22,070 disagree with is actually thinking and 301 00:12:26,680 --> 00:12:24,140 throwing out the kind of the kind of 302 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:26,690 counter arguments we think will counter 303 00:12:30,430 --> 00:12:28,370 the arguments we assume they're making 304 00:12:32,410 --> 00:12:30,440 if we're countering arguments they're 305 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:32,420 not actually making them we're not only 306 00:12:36,220 --> 00:12:33,650 wasting our time but we're also 307 00:12:38,650 --> 00:12:36,230 completely ineffective when it comes to 308 00:12:39,940 --> 00:12:38,660 anybody who might encounter those those 309 00:12:42,850 --> 00:12:39,950 other arguments because they aren't 310 00:12:45,070 --> 00:12:42,860 hearing valid informed skepticism 311 00:12:46,390 --> 00:12:45,080 they'll hear instead somebody who thinks 312 00:12:47,620 --> 00:12:46,400 they know everything and listen to 313 00:12:49,510 --> 00:12:47,630 nothing so I think it's really important 314 00:12:51,220 --> 00:12:49,520 we do as much as possible engage with 315 00:12:53,230 --> 00:12:51,230 the arguments and and talk to people we 316 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:53,240 disagree with and have that at a kind of 317 00:12:58,570 --> 00:12:56,210 a human conversational level too so they 318 00:13:00,610 --> 00:12:58,580 don't think we're you know caricaturist 319 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:00,620 bad guys yes so they understand that 320 00:13:04,780 --> 00:13:02,210 we're also people with the best of 321 00:13:06,490 --> 00:13:04,790 intentions yeah and I'm sure you've 322 00:13:09,370 --> 00:13:06,500 probably met the same sort of people I 323 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:09,380 have over the years these strident 324 00:13:15,310 --> 00:13:12,050 armchair skeptics who will know a little 325 00:13:16,660 --> 00:13:15,320 bit about skepticism decide the subject 326 00:13:19,060 --> 00:13:16,670 they're looking at is complete and utter 327 00:13:21,910 --> 00:13:19,070 bunk and it'll take a very narrow-minded 328 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:21,920 attitude yeah yeah and it's I mean if 329 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:25,010 it's it's in a way going into finding 330 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:27,770 skepticism as a movement I think lots of 331 00:13:30,670 --> 00:13:29,450 us are like that to begin with and I 332 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:30,680 certainly was when I first found 333 00:13:34,870 --> 00:13:33,290 skepticism as an idea or as a community 334 00:13:36,190 --> 00:13:34,880 I was incredibly excited by it and I 335 00:13:38,380 --> 00:13:36,200 want to tell everybody all this new 336 00:13:40,450 --> 00:13:38,390 stuff that I found out and I almost 337 00:13:42,310 --> 00:13:40,460 certainly just in lots of occasions just 338 00:13:44,830 --> 00:13:42,320 parented arguments I'd heard that heard 339 00:13:47,020 --> 00:13:44,840 elsewhere and talked people's ears off 340 00:13:47,710 --> 00:13:47,030 and bored them and wasn't particularly 341 00:13:49,150 --> 00:13:47,720 necessarily 342 00:13:50,860 --> 00:13:49,160 charitable to the people we disagree 343 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:50,870 with but I think if if you're in 344 00:13:55,509 --> 00:13:53,569 skepticism for long enough that you 345 00:13:58,179 --> 00:13:55,519 realize that what you really want is to 346 00:14:00,809 --> 00:13:58,189 effect change and to help people you 347 00:14:02,889 --> 00:14:00,819 realize that that gung-ho 348 00:14:03,730 --> 00:14:02,899 holier-than-thou smarter than our 349 00:14:05,410 --> 00:14:03,740 approach 350 00:14:06,639 --> 00:14:05,420 absolutely doesn't help people it 351 00:14:08,230 --> 00:14:06,649 doesn't reach anybody it doesn't really 352 00:14:10,749 --> 00:14:08,240 change any minds it might make you feel 353 00:14:11,889 --> 00:14:10,759 better but it does nothing to actually 354 00:14:13,629 --> 00:14:11,899 affect the world around you if you 355 00:14:17,350 --> 00:14:13,639 really want to make a change you have to 356 00:14:20,100 --> 00:14:17,360 kind of adapt your your approach adapt 357 00:14:22,090 --> 00:14:20,110 your tactics and and get a lot more 358 00:14:23,259 --> 00:14:22,100 open-minded see what the other people 359 00:14:26,230 --> 00:14:23,269 are saying so you're in a much better 360 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:26,240 position to critique it with with enough 361 00:14:29,740 --> 00:14:27,410 gentleness that they're actually going 362 00:14:31,150 --> 00:14:29,750 to listen to you absolutely now folks if 363 00:14:32,619 --> 00:14:31,160 you want to catch up on be reasonable 364 00:14:35,019 --> 00:14:32,629 I'll add a link in this week's show 365 00:14:37,389 --> 00:14:35,029 notes it's just the thing just the thing 366 00:14:38,679 --> 00:14:37,399 to help you get through the lockdown at 367 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:38,689 the moment but let's move on to other 368 00:14:44,350 --> 00:14:41,810 subjects March other topics well in a 369 00:14:47,319 --> 00:14:44,360 way and this came to my attention just a 370 00:14:50,769 --> 00:14:47,329 few days ago an article in The Times and 371 00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:50,779 the headline is homeopaths risking lives 372 00:14:56,439 --> 00:14:54,170 with bogus corona virus treatments now 373 00:14:58,509 --> 00:14:56,449 we've been seeing in the last couple of 374 00:15:01,660 --> 00:14:58,519 weeks coming across my desk have been a 375 00:15:04,059 --> 00:15:01,670 lot of far-fetched claims to do with 376 00:15:06,189 --> 00:15:04,069 corona virus what's the story behind 377 00:15:08,949 --> 00:15:06,199 this particular news item 378 00:15:10,929 --> 00:15:08,959 yeah well it's it's unfortunate but not 379 00:15:13,269 --> 00:15:10,939 surprising that there are an awful lot 380 00:15:15,970 --> 00:15:13,279 of homeopaths here in the UK who see 381 00:15:18,519 --> 00:15:15,980 this global pandemic not just as an 382 00:15:21,189 --> 00:15:18,529 international catastrophe that needs a 383 00:15:22,749 --> 00:15:21,199 public health intervention to manage but 384 00:15:24,340 --> 00:15:22,759 as an opportunity to demonstrate to 385 00:15:26,230 --> 00:15:24,350 people the effectiveness or the the 386 00:15:28,420 --> 00:15:26,240 so-called effective effectiveness of 387 00:15:31,629 --> 00:15:28,430 homeopathy and the treatments that they 388 00:15:34,420 --> 00:15:31,639 believe in and that they sell so what 389 00:15:35,379 --> 00:15:34,430 we've seen is unfortunately lots and 390 00:15:36,939 --> 00:15:35,389 lots of homeopaths 391 00:15:38,590 --> 00:15:36,949 within the society of homeopathy which 392 00:15:40,929 --> 00:15:38,600 is the UK's register of homeopaths 393 00:15:43,329 --> 00:15:40,939 making claims by coronavirus and there 394 00:15:45,879 --> 00:15:43,339 are some of them who are saying I'll do 395 00:15:47,049 --> 00:15:45,889 online consultations about coronavirus 396 00:15:49,749 --> 00:15:47,059 there are some people actually offering 397 00:15:51,730 --> 00:15:49,759 a corona discount for their treatment so 398 00:15:53,619 --> 00:15:51,740 if you enter the the offer code corona 399 00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:53,629 you can get money off and there are 400 00:15:57,490 --> 00:15:55,490 people who are saying that right now I'm 401 00:16:00,040 --> 00:15:57,500 busier than ever because of all the 402 00:16:01,390 --> 00:16:00,050 people I'm seeing turnover online 403 00:16:03,519 --> 00:16:01,400 consultations too 404 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:03,529 to have to treat their coronavirus so 405 00:16:07,810 --> 00:16:05,210 you've seen this slew of misinformation 406 00:16:10,690 --> 00:16:07,820 and the way that we this story actually 407 00:16:12,190 --> 00:16:10,700 came about in the times is that I went 408 00:16:13,660 --> 00:16:12,200 through with a couple of other couple of 409 00:16:16,180 --> 00:16:13,670 the skeptics in the UK went through 410 00:16:17,590 --> 00:16:16,190 hundreds of websites of registrants of 411 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:17,600 the society homeopathy to see what 412 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:19,690 they're saying about coronavirus and 413 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:22,130 compiled essentially a bit of a report 414 00:16:26,620 --> 00:16:24,290 of all of these different claims and we 415 00:16:28,630 --> 00:16:26,630 published that in The Times and it's 416 00:16:29,650 --> 00:16:28,640 what's particularly shocking is it 417 00:16:32,350 --> 00:16:29,660 wasn't that long ago that we were 418 00:16:33,910 --> 00:16:32,360 talking about the anti vaccine sat with 419 00:16:35,829 --> 00:16:33,920 inside the society of homeopathy the 420 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:35,839 number of homy passed who said vaccines 421 00:16:40,150 --> 00:16:37,610 are dangerous vaccines cause autism 422 00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:40,160 homeopathy cures autism and we were 423 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:41,810 arguing as you'll remember at the time 424 00:16:45,460 --> 00:16:43,610 that the fact that the society 425 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:45,470 homeopathy was not taking sufficient 426 00:16:49,030 --> 00:16:47,810 action against those claims meant that 427 00:16:50,890 --> 00:16:49,040 they should have their accreditation 428 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:50,900 their government accreditation removed 429 00:16:54,790 --> 00:16:52,490 because they aren't working effectively 430 00:16:56,710 --> 00:16:54,800 to protect the public from misleading 431 00:16:58,990 --> 00:16:56,720 and potentially dangerous claims and lo 432 00:17:00,970 --> 00:16:59,000 and behold corona virus pandemic hits 433 00:17:02,590 --> 00:17:00,980 the UK and we see a slew of homeopathy 434 00:17:04,929 --> 00:17:02,600 from exactly the same membership body 435 00:17:06,630 --> 00:17:04,939 making exactly the same kind of level of 436 00:17:09,130 --> 00:17:06,640 dangerous and misleading claims 437 00:17:11,710 --> 00:17:09,140 encouraging people to turn to sugar 438 00:17:13,059 --> 00:17:11,720 pills and when facing this this pandemic 439 00:17:15,130 --> 00:17:13,069 that's killing literally tens of 440 00:17:17,350 --> 00:17:15,140 thousands of people it's it's it's 441 00:17:20,230 --> 00:17:17,360 shocking really it is shocking because 442 00:17:23,199 --> 00:17:20,240 here in Australia I think the general 443 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:23,209 perception is we're doing okay compared 444 00:17:26,410 --> 00:17:24,410 to some countries in the world we're 445 00:17:27,939 --> 00:17:26,420 getting off lightly for whatever reason 446 00:17:31,060 --> 00:17:27,949 that is and that'll all come out in the 447 00:17:35,290 --> 00:17:31,070 wash later on but I know in the UK it is 448 00:17:37,180 --> 00:17:35,300 a dreadful situation um yeah it's it's 449 00:17:39,130 --> 00:17:37,190 gone very badly here in the UK and you 450 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:39,140 know when all of Europe was going into 451 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:41,570 lockdown the UK government didn't go 452 00:17:44,830 --> 00:17:43,250 into lockdown it refused to do that 453 00:17:45,940 --> 00:17:44,840 there was even a strategy mentioned at 454 00:17:48,010 --> 00:17:45,950 one point that we should just allow that 455 00:17:49,630 --> 00:17:48,020 the the me Boris Johnson went on 456 00:17:51,070 --> 00:17:49,640 television our prime minister and said 457 00:17:53,799 --> 00:17:51,080 we should allow the virus to pass 458 00:17:57,190 --> 00:17:53,809 through society and to take this on the 459 00:17:59,049 --> 00:17:57,200 chin as essentially to say have so many 460 00:18:01,000 --> 00:17:59,059 UK citizens infected with it that we 461 00:18:02,650 --> 00:18:01,010 eventually developed the immunity that 462 00:18:04,270 --> 00:18:02,660 might come from having had the disease 463 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:04,280 but of course in doing that you're 464 00:18:08,740 --> 00:18:06,410 exposing thousands or hundreds of 465 00:18:10,260 --> 00:18:08,750 thousands of vulnerable people to a 466 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:10,270 disease that they won't be able to 467 00:18:14,470 --> 00:18:12,890 recover from or recover from well and 468 00:18:15,850 --> 00:18:14,480 ends up swampy 469 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:15,860 the hospitals and that's what we're 470 00:18:19,810 --> 00:18:16,850 seeing unfortunately I think we've 471 00:18:22,270 --> 00:18:19,820 passed 14,000 deaths of or maybe more 472 00:18:25,539 --> 00:18:22,280 than that even and every day is just 473 00:18:28,630 --> 00:18:25,549 another unfortunate series of very high 474 00:18:32,530 --> 00:18:28,640 numbers and it's um it's it's shocking 475 00:18:35,049 --> 00:18:32,540 to see that when the rest of Europe was 476 00:18:37,180 --> 00:18:35,059 already starting to experience serious 477 00:18:38,620 --> 00:18:37,190 issues and was going into lockdown we 478 00:18:40,570 --> 00:18:38,630 looked at that and thought no we as a 479 00:18:43,930 --> 00:18:40,580 country will be okay there was a day 480 00:18:45,460 --> 00:18:43,940 even while Italy was under lockdown the 481 00:18:47,409 --> 00:18:45,470 government thought it was perfectly fine 482 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:47,419 for a big horse racing event to go ahead 483 00:18:52,570 --> 00:18:49,010 the Cheltenham Festival which quarter of 484 00:18:54,970 --> 00:18:52,580 a million people gathered at and 3,000 485 00:18:56,409 --> 00:18:54,980 fans from a political Madrid were 486 00:18:58,900 --> 00:18:56,419 allowed to fly into Liverpool where I 487 00:19:00,010 --> 00:18:58,910 live to attend a football match and this 488 00:19:02,470 --> 00:19:00,020 was at the time that Madrid was 489 00:19:04,360 --> 00:19:02,480 undergoing a major outbreak of 490 00:19:06,010 --> 00:19:04,370 coronavirus and those 3,000 fans were 491 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:06,020 allowed to just come into the ceiling to 492 00:19:08,289 --> 00:19:07,250 the city and wander around because the 493 00:19:11,110 --> 00:19:08,299 government didn't think it was wise to 494 00:19:12,490 --> 00:19:11,120 to shut things down so we're seeing a 495 00:19:14,110 --> 00:19:12,500 lot of that unfortunately come home to 496 00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:14,120 roost and it's it's the people who are 497 00:19:19,659 --> 00:19:16,730 most vulnerable who who bear the brunt 498 00:19:22,090 --> 00:19:19,669 of that unfortunately it is it is not a 499 00:19:24,340 --> 00:19:22,100 good thing to see at all it is quite 500 00:19:25,990 --> 00:19:24,350 horrifying now just getting back to one 501 00:19:28,360 --> 00:19:26,000 of the homeopaths let's take an example 502 00:19:30,490 --> 00:19:28,370 and it's the one I can see mentioned on 503 00:19:33,159 --> 00:19:30,500 The Times article sage homeopathy a 504 00:19:35,740 --> 00:19:33,169 North London based business states on 505 00:19:40,030 --> 00:19:35,750 its website that homeopathy can be quote 506 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:40,040 very effective in treating flu and kovat 507 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:44,330 19 is no exception end quote now I would 508 00:19:48,090 --> 00:19:45,890 imagine Martian this is something that 509 00:19:51,730 --> 00:19:48,100 you and I have seen over the years that 510 00:19:54,610 --> 00:19:51,740 most I'd hesitate to say or but 511 00:19:57,070 --> 00:19:54,620 certainly most homeopaths 512 00:20:00,010 --> 00:19:57,080 would sincerely believe that their sugar 513 00:20:02,530 --> 00:20:00,020 pills can actually treat this virus and 514 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:02,540 everything else yeah I think they do and 515 00:20:05,590 --> 00:20:04,490 in many ways that's what makes them so 516 00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:05,600 dangerous right now 517 00:20:09,940 --> 00:20:08,570 because if you as someone who didn't 518 00:20:12,370 --> 00:20:09,950 believe in what you're doing maybe you 519 00:20:14,140 --> 00:20:12,380 don't go quite as far as to say I can 520 00:20:15,789 --> 00:20:14,150 cure this global pandemic but if you 521 00:20:18,039 --> 00:20:15,799 sincerely believe that what you have is 522 00:20:19,750 --> 00:20:18,049 not just another form of minute not just 523 00:20:22,810 --> 00:20:19,760 a form of alternative medicine that is 524 00:20:25,180 --> 00:20:22,820 good for coughs and headaches and hay 525 00:20:27,810 --> 00:20:25,190 fever and self-limiting illnesses but 526 00:20:29,820 --> 00:20:27,820 you actually have an entirely alter 527 00:20:32,010 --> 00:20:29,830 form of medicine that's on par if not 528 00:20:33,450 --> 00:20:32,020 better than conventional medicine then 529 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:33,460 it's understandable why you might think 530 00:20:38,430 --> 00:20:35,770 well absolutely I can cure this this 531 00:20:39,780 --> 00:20:38,440 epidemic that's stricken the world but 532 00:20:41,870 --> 00:20:39,790 unfortunately if the thing that you're 533 00:20:44,310 --> 00:20:41,880 selling is nothing more than sugar pills 534 00:20:45,750 --> 00:20:44,320 what you're doing is is encouraging 535 00:20:48,450 --> 00:20:45,760 people to either 536 00:20:50,580 --> 00:20:48,460 Ashu real treatment or to potentially 537 00:20:52,140 --> 00:20:50,590 eschew the kind of social distancing 538 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:52,150 measures that we absolutely need to be 539 00:20:57,180 --> 00:20:53,890 taking in order to to protect those 540 00:20:59,940 --> 00:20:57,190 around us or even to to delay seeking 541 00:21:02,460 --> 00:20:59,950 genuine help when they when that when 542 00:21:04,590 --> 00:21:02,470 they start to experience severe symptoms 543 00:21:06,780 --> 00:21:04,600 so there is no good outcome from 544 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:06,790 somebody taking homeopathy when they 545 00:21:10,980 --> 00:21:08,890 need to be taking something else this is 546 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:10,990 just at best a waste of time and money 547 00:21:15,180 --> 00:21:13,690 and at worst actively putting people's 548 00:21:17,610 --> 00:21:15,190 lives in danger from people who are 549 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:17,620 sincere but they're gonna do a sincerely 550 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:19,210 a sincere amount of damage to her to 551 00:21:24,330 --> 00:21:21,970 people yeah yeah and it brings home the 552 00:21:25,650 --> 00:21:24,340 point again and that we've discussed 553 00:21:28,050 --> 00:21:25,660 this on the skeptics urn I think 554 00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:28,060 recently you know logical fallacies with 555 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:31,450 the false dichotomy a lot of people you 556 00:21:35,130 --> 00:21:33,490 know early skeptics armchair skeptics in 557 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:35,140 the media especially will look at it 558 00:21:39,780 --> 00:21:37,570 something like homeopathy and give it 559 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:39,790 put it in two baskets the first basket 560 00:21:43,770 --> 00:21:42,010 is it's a total scam and the people 561 00:21:46,170 --> 00:21:43,780 doing it are monsters and just out the 562 00:21:47,790 --> 00:21:46,180 scam you and the second basket is oh it 563 00:21:49,740 --> 00:21:47,800 totally works and you know this is 564 00:21:52,290 --> 00:21:49,750 something that we've yet to discover and 565 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:52,300 the middle huge gray area is what we're 566 00:21:56,850 --> 00:21:54,970 talking about these sincere but deluded 567 00:21:58,980 --> 00:21:56,860 people the homeopaths who think they're 568 00:22:01,170 --> 00:21:58,990 doing good and that's something that 569 00:22:03,870 --> 00:22:01,180 every skeptic should keep in mind yeah 570 00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:03,880 it absolutely is and it's something 571 00:22:07,350 --> 00:22:05,770 we've seen as I've trolled through the 572 00:22:09,450 --> 00:22:07,360 websites of various homeopaths you can 573 00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:09,460 see that they think they have an answer 574 00:22:12,360 --> 00:22:11,170 they think they can help but 575 00:22:14,130 --> 00:22:12,370 unfortunately the answer that they're 576 00:22:15,990 --> 00:22:14,140 selling is a false answer and it's it's 577 00:22:17,340 --> 00:22:16,000 better than no answer at all and we're 578 00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:17,350 actually seeing steps from some 579 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:19,570 homeopaths in UK to try and circumvent 580 00:22:25,110 --> 00:22:22,450 any attempt to track what they're doing 581 00:22:27,450 --> 00:22:25,120 so I spotted a website last week which 582 00:22:29,850 --> 00:22:27,460 was talking all about how homeopathy can 583 00:22:31,470 --> 00:22:29,860 help the coronavirus when I checked that 584 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:31,480 website yesterday it wasn't talking 585 00:22:34,770 --> 00:22:32,890 about that but it was talking about how 586 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:34,780 homeopathy can help the current global 587 00:22:39,270 --> 00:22:37,210 pandemic and if you compared the two web 588 00:22:41,190 --> 00:22:39,280 pages side by side you'd found they just 589 00:22:43,350 --> 00:22:41,200 done a find and replace to replace 590 00:22:45,269 --> 00:22:43,360 any mentions of coronavirus with the 591 00:22:47,820 --> 00:22:45,279 phrase the current global pandemic 592 00:22:49,769 --> 00:22:47,830 hoping presumably that anybody who is 593 00:22:51,360 --> 00:22:49,779 looking for homeopathy selling solutions 594 00:22:53,519 --> 00:22:51,370 to coronavirus wouldn't think to add 595 00:22:55,500 --> 00:22:53,529 synonyms for her own a virus into the 596 00:22:58,620 --> 00:22:55,510 list and at that point you think this 597 00:23:00,389 --> 00:22:58,630 isn't just this isn't just well meaning 598 00:23:02,820 --> 00:23:00,399 there's a level of cynicism that you're 599 00:23:05,250 --> 00:23:02,830 trying to skirt around the the 600 00:23:07,620 --> 00:23:05,260 regulation and trying to hide in plain 601 00:23:10,019 --> 00:23:07,630 sight a little bit so there is some some 602 00:23:11,700 --> 00:23:10,029 misleading stuff going on in how people 603 00:23:13,409 --> 00:23:11,710 are marketing but by and large they're 604 00:23:15,779 --> 00:23:13,419 doing it I think because they really 605 00:23:17,820 --> 00:23:15,789 believe they can help but right now we 606 00:23:19,820 --> 00:23:17,830 do not need that right now is the worst 607 00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:19,830 possible time for people to start 608 00:23:24,690 --> 00:23:22,570 inserting their own pet theories and 609 00:23:26,940 --> 00:23:24,700 inserting their own pet cures and 610 00:23:30,210 --> 00:23:26,950 they're kind of old wives tales 611 00:23:32,039 --> 00:23:30,220 traditional remedies into this crisis 612 00:23:33,409 --> 00:23:32,049 right now all we need right now is for 613 00:23:36,120 --> 00:23:33,419 people to follow the advice of 614 00:23:38,250 --> 00:23:36,130 governments for the advice of trusted 615 00:23:40,470 --> 00:23:38,260 medical professionals and that's to you 616 00:23:43,049 --> 00:23:40,480 know as we know Cavia is to wash your 617 00:23:44,879 --> 00:23:43,059 hands to stay at home to keep distant 618 00:23:47,190 --> 00:23:44,889 from people and allow those who have to 619 00:23:49,460 --> 00:23:47,200 be out there to be out there with with 620 00:23:52,259 --> 00:23:49,470 minimal amount of contact with people 621 00:23:53,759 --> 00:23:52,269 absolutely now where where is this 622 00:23:55,710 --> 00:23:53,769 heading is this something that you're 623 00:23:58,860 --> 00:23:55,720 still working on is this going to be 624 00:24:00,480 --> 00:23:58,870 formalized at some stage so we're still 625 00:24:03,330 --> 00:24:00,490 looking at things at the moment so we've 626 00:24:05,639 --> 00:24:03,340 made we've made our findings available 627 00:24:07,350 --> 00:24:05,649 to the society the society homeopaths 628 00:24:08,850 --> 00:24:07,360 and also the Professional Standards 629 00:24:10,980 --> 00:24:08,860 Authority which is the government body 630 00:24:13,169 --> 00:24:10,990 that accredits the society homeopaths 631 00:24:18,419 --> 00:24:13,179 but the point that we've made to the PSA 632 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:18,429 is how seriously can we expect the 633 00:24:22,799 --> 00:24:20,490 Society of homeopathy to prevent their 634 00:24:24,450 --> 00:24:22,809 registrants from making these claims 635 00:24:26,490 --> 00:24:24,460 when the Society of homeopaths 636 00:24:28,620 --> 00:24:26,500 themselves are spreading misleading 637 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:28,630 information about the corona virus so on 638 00:24:32,850 --> 00:24:30,490 their own society of homeopathy 639 00:24:35,460 --> 00:24:32,860 announcement about how to deal with the 640 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:35,470 corona virus at the bottom at the top of 641 00:24:37,950 --> 00:24:36,730 the the grounds where it says you know 642 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:37,960 we need to wash our hands and stay 643 00:24:41,250 --> 00:24:39,610 indoors and all this kind of stuff you 644 00:24:43,500 --> 00:24:41,260 know don't see patients face to face 645 00:24:45,060 --> 00:24:43,510 just do them of a sky / or over video 646 00:24:46,950 --> 00:24:45,070 calls and things but at the bottom of 647 00:24:48,870 --> 00:24:46,960 that very announcement by the regulator 648 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:48,880 of homeopaths it said how can homeopathy 649 00:24:54,149 --> 00:24:51,250 help and listed remedies that are good 650 00:24:54,899 --> 00:24:54,159 for cold and flu symptoms so even in 651 00:24:56,820 --> 00:24:54,909 that 652 00:24:59,369 --> 00:24:56,830 keep away from coronavirus statement 653 00:25:01,859 --> 00:24:59,379 they're telling their members what what 654 00:25:04,919 --> 00:25:01,869 what remedies will will help on the the 655 00:25:07,019 --> 00:25:04,929 Facebook and social media of the Society 656 00:25:07,889 --> 00:25:07,029 of homeopaths even in the last week or 657 00:25:09,570 --> 00:25:07,899 last week or two 658 00:25:11,310 --> 00:25:09,580 they've been spreading misinformation on 659 00:25:14,549 --> 00:25:11,320 those posts about how homeopathy can 660 00:25:15,930 --> 00:25:14,559 help with with lungs that feel like your 661 00:25:18,659 --> 00:25:15,940 heart like it's hard to breathe you're 662 00:25:20,369 --> 00:25:18,669 burning along with with fevers and these 663 00:25:22,289 --> 00:25:20,379 are symptoms of coronavirus and I don't 664 00:25:23,669 --> 00:25:22,299 think it's a coincidence that they're 665 00:25:26,219 --> 00:25:23,679 talking about those symptoms I think 666 00:25:28,109 --> 00:25:26,229 it's a dereliction of duty in many in 667 00:25:30,149 --> 00:25:28,119 many ways that the regulator charged 668 00:25:32,249 --> 00:25:30,159 with protecting the public is itself 669 00:25:35,099 --> 00:25:32,259 spreading misinformation so there's some 670 00:25:36,719 --> 00:25:35,109 serious work to be done by by the the 671 00:25:38,789 --> 00:25:36,729 PSA the government's regulator in 672 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:38,799 bringing this to account because this 673 00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:40,570 isn't a time for regulators to move 674 00:25:44,999 --> 00:25:43,570 slowly as things are developing right 675 00:25:47,339 --> 00:25:45,009 now any amount of misinformation 676 00:25:49,710 --> 00:25:47,349 muddying the water could genuinely come 677 00:25:52,379 --> 00:25:49,720 with at the cost of people's lives yeah 678 00:25:53,639 --> 00:25:52,389 it is it is a fright frightening 679 00:25:56,729 --> 00:25:53,649 situation at the moment and you're 680 00:25:58,289 --> 00:25:56,739 absolutely right now let's change tack 681 00:26:01,049 --> 00:25:58,299 towards the end of our little chat here 682 00:26:02,969 --> 00:26:01,059 now here in Sydney Australia for many 683 00:26:05,219 --> 00:26:02,979 years we've had Sydney skeptics in the 684 00:26:07,229 --> 00:26:05,229 pub I mean since the early part of the 685 00:26:08,940 --> 00:26:07,239 last decade and we have a monthly 686 00:26:13,469 --> 00:26:08,950 speaker and everybody has a great time 687 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:13,479 and well as you know at the moment just 688 00:26:17,099 --> 00:26:15,129 like the UK all the pubs and the clubs 689 00:26:18,570 --> 00:26:17,109 and the restaurants are all shut at the 690 00:26:20,339 --> 00:26:18,580 moment so no more skeptics in the pub 691 00:26:23,039 --> 00:26:20,349 but you've done something about that in 692 00:26:25,349 --> 00:26:23,049 the UK you've got the online skeptics in 693 00:26:29,509 --> 00:26:25,359 the pub again a link in this week's show 694 00:26:32,580 --> 00:26:29,519 notes but it's twitch.tv slash s i TP 695 00:26:35,190 --> 00:26:32,590 how's that all going yeah it's starting 696 00:26:36,749 --> 00:26:35,200 to look look pretty good really so all 697 00:26:38,969 --> 00:26:36,759 of the many of the skeptics in the pub 698 00:26:40,589 --> 00:26:38,979 organisers of the various different 699 00:26:42,629 --> 00:26:40,599 groups that are that are dotted around 700 00:26:44,849 --> 00:26:42,639 around the UK and I think we have 701 00:26:46,799 --> 00:26:44,859 something like 20 or - maybe even 30 702 00:26:49,019 --> 00:26:46,809 groups dotted around the UK of skeptics 703 00:26:51,629 --> 00:26:49,029 in the pubs we all realized that we all 704 00:26:52,979 --> 00:26:51,639 wanted to be doing events still you 705 00:26:54,299 --> 00:26:52,989 can't have our in-person events so we 706 00:26:56,279 --> 00:26:54,309 all were looking to find ways of doing 707 00:26:58,799 --> 00:26:56,289 that online and it struck us though it 708 00:27:00,109 --> 00:26:58,809 made kind of little sense for 20 groups 709 00:27:02,759 --> 00:27:00,119 to go off and have their own online 710 00:27:04,710 --> 00:27:02,769 meetings with 20 different audiences 711 00:27:06,749 --> 00:27:04,720 when we're no longer geographically 712 00:27:08,799 --> 00:27:06,759 bound to which pub you can get to so we 713 00:27:11,739 --> 00:27:08,809 could just kind of amalgamated 714 00:27:12,759 --> 00:27:11,749 and have an online group that anyone in 715 00:27:15,009 --> 00:27:12,769 the country could join and in fact 716 00:27:16,360 --> 00:27:15,019 anyone around the world can join and so 717 00:27:18,399 --> 00:27:16,370 we've had that we've had our first 718 00:27:20,049 --> 00:27:18,409 skeptics in the pub online already that 719 00:27:21,850 --> 00:27:20,059 was Professor Jim al-khalili talking 720 00:27:24,639 --> 00:27:21,860 about the the world according to physics 721 00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:24,649 and it was it was a really fun event it 722 00:27:27,850 --> 00:27:26,330 had some technical challenges as its 723 00:27:29,259 --> 00:27:27,860 going to be going to have when a 724 00:27:31,570 --> 00:27:29,269 volunteer group is throwing things 725 00:27:34,210 --> 00:27:31,580 together very very quickly with with 726 00:27:36,220 --> 00:27:34,220 little notice and zero budget but we're 727 00:27:37,749 --> 00:27:36,230 starting to put together a fairly fairly 728 00:27:42,190 --> 00:27:37,759 good-looking event and we've got another 729 00:27:43,869 --> 00:27:42,200 one on Thursday the the 21st so I'm 730 00:27:45,549 --> 00:27:43,879 looking forward to that one too so yeah 731 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:45,559 it started look I look pretty cool 732 00:27:48,850 --> 00:27:46,970 really and it's nice that people can 733 00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:48,860 just pop along to twitch on their phones 734 00:27:52,539 --> 00:27:50,690 on the laptops or you know even on their 735 00:27:53,619 --> 00:27:52,549 televisions and just see skeptics in the 736 00:27:55,810 --> 00:27:53,629 pub there and join in the conversation 737 00:27:58,869 --> 00:27:55,820 and ask questions of the speakers and 738 00:28:00,759 --> 00:27:58,879 still have that sense of being at a 739 00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:00,769 sceptical event even though we can't 740 00:28:04,930 --> 00:28:02,570 literally literally be there at the 741 00:28:06,669 --> 00:28:04,940 moment yeah you can encourage everybody 742 00:28:08,649 --> 00:28:06,679 to grab their favorite drink and have a 743 00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:08,659 plate of chips or something yeah yeah 744 00:28:11,980 --> 00:28:10,610 exactly I know where they go it's what 745 00:28:14,409 --> 00:28:11,990 we would do normally it skeptics in the 746 00:28:16,090 --> 00:28:14,419 pub in Sydney anyway well Marsh thanks 747 00:28:17,769 --> 00:28:16,100 very much for that update we're going to 748 00:28:21,220 --> 00:28:17,779 keep our eye on the situation please 749 00:28:23,139 --> 00:28:21,230 keep us advised if anything more happens 750 00:28:24,999 --> 00:28:23,149 on that it's amazing that after all 751 00:28:27,399 --> 00:28:25,009 these years that we get back to the same 752 00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:27,409 core topics isn't it and homeopaths must 753 00:28:32,139 --> 00:28:29,330 be towards the top of the list of the 754 00:28:35,529 --> 00:28:32,149 good old core topics that we we look at 755 00:28:37,299 --> 00:28:35,539 well good luck for the rest of the 756 00:28:40,509 --> 00:28:37,309 lockdown none of us know how long that's 757 00:28:42,220 --> 00:28:40,519 going to take in the UK or here in 758 00:28:44,409 --> 00:28:42,230 Australia but it's good to see that 759 00:28:47,590 --> 00:28:44,419 despite all these troubles the good 760 00:28:48,899 --> 00:28:47,600 thinking society is still still out 761 00:28:51,009 --> 00:28:48,909 there doing what it should be doing 762 00:28:53,379 --> 00:28:51,019 absolutely we're all we're all keeping 763 00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:53,389 on and I'm sure if we keep our heads 764 00:28:57,310 --> 00:28:55,850 down and get through this well the other 765 00:28:59,769 --> 00:28:57,320 side will be able to have those those 766 00:29:01,330 --> 00:28:59,779 pub meetings in person again and that'll 767 00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:01,340 be a great day when we can all be back 768 00:29:03,730 --> 00:29:02,450 in the pub and enjoy each other's 769 00:29:05,289 --> 00:29:03,740 company knowing we've got through this 770 00:29:07,060 --> 00:29:05,299 but for the time for the time being we 771 00:29:09,220 --> 00:29:07,070 just need to keep our heads down keep 772 00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:09,230 our heads together and and keep keep 773 00:29:13,779 --> 00:29:11,090 looking forward really keep carrying on 774 00:29:15,430 --> 00:29:13,789 I guess they'd say well thanks back but 775 00:29:17,379 --> 00:29:15,440 now Michael marshal all the way there in 776 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:17,389 live thanks very much thanks a lot 777 00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:27,370 [Music] 778 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:30,330 hey max fun listeners have you been 779 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:32,010 listening to max fun for a while and 780 00:29:35,780 --> 00:29:33,690 you've just been wondering where's the 781 00:29:37,610 --> 00:29:35,790 new Flat Earth podcast to keep hearing 782 00:29:40,820 --> 00:29:37,620 about well here it is we give you all 783 00:29:45,380 --> 00:29:40,830 the facts on NASA's lies and how we know 784 00:29:48,740 --> 00:29:45,390 that the earth is actually flat this is 785 00:29:50,690 --> 00:29:48,750 oh no Ross and Carrie and we join fringe 786 00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:50,700 religious groups we undergo alternative 787 00:29:54,380 --> 00:29:52,770 medical treatments and we hang out with 788 00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:54,390 people like 9/11 truthers flat-earthers 789 00:29:58,790 --> 00:29:56,250 we find out why do people believe 790 00:30:00,500 --> 00:29:58,800 strange things we join them and we tell 791 00:30:02,150 --> 00:30:00,510 you all about it we have a lot of fun we 792 00:30:03,910 --> 00:30:02,160 make a lot of friends yeah we do we 793 00:30:06,500 --> 00:30:03,920 joined the Mormons we join the 794 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:06,510 Scientologists we got acupuncture we got 795 00:30:10,310 --> 00:30:08,730 fire cups we got ear candled we've done 796 00:30:12,140 --> 00:30:10,320 it all and we're gonna keep doing it all 797 00:30:19,620 --> 00:30:12,150 why don't you check out oh no Ross and 798 00:30:40,370 --> 00:30:38,470 [Music] 799 00:30:43,140 --> 00:30:40,380 logical fallacies 800 00:30:46,660 --> 00:30:43,150 [Music] 801 00:30:48,580 --> 00:30:46,670 what are logical fallacies and why is it 802 00:30:52,690 --> 00:30:48,590 important that critical thinkers should 803 00:30:55,540 --> 00:30:52,700 know about them a logical fallacy is an 804 00:30:57,550 --> 00:30:55,550 error we can make in reasoning but it 805 00:31:02,200 --> 00:30:57,560 usually crops up when we are discussing 806 00:31:04,630 --> 00:31:02,210 or arguing our point of view some people 807 00:31:06,580 --> 00:31:04,640 might even knowingly use them to try and 808 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:06,590 score cheap points in an argument 809 00:31:13,030 --> 00:31:10,490 due to intellectual laziness they are 810 00:31:15,310 --> 00:31:13,040 traps we can fall into but if we know 811 00:31:17,590 --> 00:31:15,320 what to look out for we can spot them 812 00:31:23,530 --> 00:31:17,600 when they occur and stop ourselves from 813 00:31:27,340 --> 00:31:23,540 using them this week we'll look at 814 00:31:29,770 --> 00:31:27,350 special pleading this is when instead of 815 00:31:32,980 --> 00:31:29,780 admitting your point of view or argument 816 00:31:35,470 --> 00:31:32,990 is wrong you try to find a loophole that 817 00:31:38,170 --> 00:31:35,480 gives you an out and saves you from 818 00:31:40,210 --> 00:31:38,180 defeat it is also when a person makes an 819 00:31:42,820 --> 00:31:40,220 exception to a universal principle 820 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:42,830 because they are holding on tight to a 821 00:31:48,490 --> 00:31:44,690 belief that doesn't align with that 822 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:48,500 principle we see this situation so often 823 00:31:54,490 --> 00:31:51,290 in skeptical investigations from 824 00:31:56,650 --> 00:31:54,500 so-called psychics to water diviners to 825 00:32:00,370 --> 00:31:56,660 people who claim they have invented a 826 00:32:02,110 --> 00:32:00,380 perpetual motion machine when it comes 827 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:02,120 to the crunch and they fail to 828 00:32:08,020 --> 00:32:04,850 demonstrate their claim they will always 829 00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:08,030 find a way to excuse the failure and 830 00:32:15,550 --> 00:32:13,130 preserve their worldview warmly I'm 100% 831 00:32:18,580 --> 00:32:15,560 successful when I'm water divining I 832 00:32:21,250 --> 00:32:18,590 never miss but when I was tested by the 833 00:32:24,940 --> 00:32:21,260 skeptics my divining power didn't work 834 00:32:27,100 --> 00:32:24,950 however I know why those skeptics had me 835 00:32:30,580 --> 00:32:27,110 tested on the wrong type of water and 836 00:32:33,310 --> 00:32:30,590 that threw me off believe it or not this 837 00:32:35,950 --> 00:32:33,320 was the actual argument made by a water 838 00:32:39,580 --> 00:32:35,960 diviner after failing a test of his 839 00:32:42,220 --> 00:32:39,590 claimed ability of all the people tested 840 00:32:44,980 --> 00:32:42,230 by Australian skeptics over the decades 841 00:32:47,650 --> 00:32:44,990 it's the water diviners who come up with 842 00:32:48,570 --> 00:32:47,660 the most creative examples of special 843 00:32:53,380 --> 00:32:48,580 pleading 844 00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:53,390 none of them not one of the hundreds who 845 00:32:59,320 --> 00:32:56,330 have tried have passed the agreed to 846 00:33:02,350 --> 00:32:59,330 tests I know I failed to find the 847 00:33:03,310 --> 00:33:02,360 treasure using my psychic powers but it 848 00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:03,320 wasn't my fault 849 00:33:08,549 --> 00:33:05,570 my spirit guide led me to the wrong 850 00:33:11,950 --> 00:33:08,559 place to teach me a lesson in humility 851 00:33:15,190 --> 00:33:11,960 once again we have an example based on a 852 00:33:19,090 --> 00:33:15,200 real excuse given by someone claiming to 853 00:33:22,060 --> 00:33:19,100 be a psychic not only did the so-called 854 00:33:24,850 --> 00:33:22,070 psychic find a way to justify their 855 00:33:26,950 --> 00:33:24,860 failure they also found a way to 856 00:33:32,139 --> 00:33:26,960 reinforce their belief in the paranormal 857 00:33:34,659 --> 00:33:32,149 at the same time a for effort it's 858 00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:34,669 simply amazing how well acupuncture 859 00:33:39,399 --> 00:33:37,250 works it doesn't matter that science 860 00:33:42,490 --> 00:33:39,409 cannot identify the mechanism by which 861 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:42,500 it works we don't need to wait for 862 00:33:46,210 --> 00:33:44,570 science to catch up to what we already 863 00:33:48,639 --> 00:33:46,220 know anyway 864 00:33:51,610 --> 00:33:48,649 science clearly isn't able to discover 865 00:33:53,620 --> 00:33:51,620 how acupuncture works this example of 866 00:33:56,129 --> 00:33:53,630 special plating has been used for many 867 00:33:59,740 --> 00:33:56,139 years by those promoting acupuncture 868 00:34:02,850 --> 00:33:59,750 so-called energy healing homeopathy and 869 00:34:05,649 --> 00:34:02,860 many other forms of alternative medicine 870 00:34:08,079 --> 00:34:05,659 when the scientific evidence is lacking 871 00:34:11,169 --> 00:34:08,089 they will blame science for not 872 00:34:15,060 --> 00:34:11,179 understanding or even for not being able 873 00:34:19,930 --> 00:34:17,800 we humans are very good at doing 874 00:34:24,129 --> 00:34:19,940 everything we can to preserve our 875 00:34:26,619 --> 00:34:24,139 beliefs and our worldview it could be 876 00:34:28,540 --> 00:34:26,629 said to be a form of natural defense as 877 00:34:31,930 --> 00:34:28,550 the mind looks for ways to protect 878 00:34:34,419 --> 00:34:31,940 itself it is something you should take 879 00:34:37,030 --> 00:34:34,429 into consideration when arguing with 880 00:34:39,139 --> 00:34:37,040 someone who is truly convinced of their 881 00:34:41,899 --> 00:34:39,149 own point of view 882 00:34:47,569 --> 00:34:41,909 rarely will they just change their mind 883 00:34:50,329 --> 00:34:47,579 on the spot knowing a logical fallacy 884 00:34:52,879 --> 00:34:50,339 when you hear one and even knowing its 885 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:52,889 name is important when arguing your 886 00:34:59,150 --> 00:34:56,490 point of view however you may come 887 00:35:01,789 --> 00:34:59,160 across as arrogant and not get very far 888 00:35:05,870 --> 00:35:01,799 if you call it out by name to your 889 00:35:08,299 --> 00:35:05,880 opponent when you hear it being used if 890 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:08,309 your opponent calls you out for using 891 00:35:13,660 --> 00:35:11,010 one it's time to stop and think about 892 00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:13,670 how you are making your case 893 00:35:19,670 --> 00:35:15,930 here's your knowledge of logical 894 00:35:22,069 --> 00:35:19,680 fallacies wisely and remember that even 895 00:35:24,260 --> 00:35:22,079 if your point of view is right and you 896 00:35:27,410 --> 00:35:24,270 know all the pitfalls in arguing your 897 00:35:31,250 --> 00:35:27,420 case it doesn't always mean you'll win 898 00:35:33,950 --> 00:35:31,260 on the day and a skeptics we must also 899 00:35:39,620 --> 00:35:33,960 remember that we too can be wrong at 900 00:35:52,060 --> 00:35:39,630 times I'm sure because my from the Vik 901 00:35:57,620 --> 00:35:54,940 greetings listeners it's me captain 902 00:36:00,230 --> 00:35:57,630 disillusion on my youtube channel called 903 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:00,240 captain disillusion aye captain 904 00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:02,490 disillusion analyzed viral videos of the 905 00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:04,530 strange and unbelievable I explained how 906 00:36:09,020 --> 00:36:07,050 interframe video compression 3d motion 907 00:36:11,570 --> 00:36:09,030 tracking and stock the effects elements 908 00:36:13,790 --> 00:36:11,580 prove that Justin Bieber is not a secret 909 00:36:15,620 --> 00:36:13,800 reptilian alien that those videos of 910 00:36:17,660 --> 00:36:15,630 ghost cars are just unintentional 911 00:36:19,310 --> 00:36:17,670 optical illusions and that lightning did 912 00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:19,320 not strike a few feet away from a girl 913 00:36:23,930 --> 00:36:21,210 on a beach as we saw in the news I'm 914 00:36:27,740 --> 00:36:23,940 real fun at parties my best friend is a 915 00:36:29,690 --> 00:36:27,750 lens flare disillusion I do know other 916 00:36:32,300 --> 00:36:29,700 people sometimes they even show up in my 917 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:32,310 videos people like skepticisms grandpa 918 00:36:35,540 --> 00:36:34,290 James Randi serve de Soleil Acrobat 919 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:35,550 Erica Lin's 920 00:36:39,890 --> 00:36:37,770 weight loss enthusiast Penn Jillette and 921 00:36:42,140 --> 00:36:39,900 the actual Beekman from Beakman's world 922 00:36:44,450 --> 00:36:42,150 I hope you'll check out my adventures 923 00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:44,460 interact with me in a platonic way and 924 00:36:49,250 --> 00:36:46,770 even consider becoming a patron of my 925 00:36:52,580 --> 00:36:49,260 work you can do all that and more on 926 00:37:00,359 --> 00:36:52,590 YouTube or at Captain disillusion calm 927 00:37:02,549 --> 00:37:00,369 [Music] 928 00:37:06,690 --> 00:37:02,559 from the website of Australian skeptics 929 00:37:09,450 --> 00:37:06,700 WW skeptics calm delay you published on 930 00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:09,460 the 16th of April 2020 by Richard 931 00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:12,970 Saunders and Tim Mendel past bent spoon 932 00:37:25,620 --> 00:37:22,690 winners vie for the dishonor in 2020 in 933 00:37:27,989 --> 00:37:25,630 the 38 years of the Australian skeptics 934 00:37:29,519 --> 00:37:27,999 bent spoon award issued to the 935 00:37:31,829 --> 00:37:29,529 perpetrator of the most preposterous 936 00:37:35,430 --> 00:37:31,839 piece of paranormal or pseudo scientific 937 00:37:37,529 --> 00:37:35,440 piffle we have never had the need to 938 00:37:40,799 --> 00:37:37,539 award this dishonor to the same person 939 00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:40,809 twice however with the current covert 19 940 00:37:45,749 --> 00:37:42,970 situation impacting on the whole world 941 00:37:47,849 --> 00:37:45,759 some of the bent spoon winners from 942 00:37:50,130 --> 00:37:47,859 years past have suddenly and 943 00:37:53,069 --> 00:37:50,140 dramatically thrown their hats into the 944 00:37:55,650 --> 00:37:53,079 ring for 2020 while the fight against 945 00:37:57,799 --> 00:37:55,660 this killer virus goes on there are some 946 00:38:00,150 --> 00:37:57,809 in our country who seem intent on 947 00:38:02,910 --> 00:38:00,160 sabotaging the efforts of our healthcare 948 00:38:05,090 --> 00:38:02,920 workers and citizens alike who are by 949 00:38:10,249 --> 00:38:05,100 and large doing the right thing 950 00:38:14,009 --> 00:38:10,259 [Music] 951 00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:14,019 in 2015 the bent spoon was awarded to 952 00:38:19,759 --> 00:38:17,170 chef Pete Evans for his diet promotions 953 00:38:23,670 --> 00:38:19,769 campaigns against fluidization and 954 00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:23,680 supportive anti vaccination in 2020 955 00:38:30,539 --> 00:38:26,650 Evans via an online video promoted the 956 00:38:33,720 --> 00:38:30,549 benefits of the bio charger machine from 957 00:38:36,240 --> 00:38:33,730 the USA the makers of this device which 958 00:38:45,529 --> 00:38:36,250 looks like something out of a 1974 959 00:38:48,900 --> 00:38:45,539 episode of Doctor Who and costs us 960 00:38:52,349 --> 00:38:48,910 fifteen thousand dollars claimant works 961 00:38:54,690 --> 00:38:52,359 via frequencies and harmonics and is 962 00:38:57,539 --> 00:38:54,700 beneficial for a huge range of ailments 963 00:39:00,029 --> 00:38:57,549 to quote Evans it's a pretty amazing 964 00:39:02,309 --> 00:39:00,039 tool it's programmed with about a 965 00:39:04,289 --> 00:39:02,319 thousand different recipes there's a 966 00:39:07,380 --> 00:39:04,299 couple of them in there for the Wuhan 967 00:39:10,529 --> 00:39:07,390 coronavirus while he took the promotion 968 00:39:12,029 --> 00:39:10,539 off his Facebook page Evans and his 969 00:39:13,769 --> 00:39:12,039 product are now the subject of 970 00:39:16,049 --> 00:39:13,779 investigations by the healthcare 971 00:39:18,269 --> 00:39:16,059 Complaints Commission the therapeutics 972 00:39:21,019 --> 00:39:18,279 Goods Administration and the Australian 973 00:39:24,809 --> 00:39:21,029 Competition and Consumer Commission and 974 00:39:27,240 --> 00:39:24,819 in 2010 the spoon went to meryl dory and 975 00:39:30,029 --> 00:39:27,250 the deceptively named australian 976 00:39:33,539 --> 00:39:30,039 vaccination network who spread fear and 977 00:39:36,690 --> 00:39:33,549 misinformation about vaccines ten years 978 00:39:39,210 --> 00:39:36,700 later and Dory via online videos and 979 00:39:42,359 --> 00:39:39,220 posts questions whether or not there 980 00:39:44,789 --> 00:39:42,369 really is a pandemic at all she also 981 00:39:47,999 --> 00:39:44,799 posted online the following reckless 982 00:39:49,710 --> 00:39:48,009 requests are you being lied to if you 983 00:39:51,660 --> 00:39:49,720 are out and about in the next couple of 984 00:39:54,059 --> 00:39:51,670 days why don't you take your phones and 985 00:39:56,970 --> 00:39:54,069 pop into a local hospital she wants to 986 00:39:59,569 --> 00:39:56,980 see if hospital emergency and intensive 987 00:40:03,029 --> 00:39:59,579 care wards are really full of ill people 988 00:40:05,759 --> 00:40:03,039 the last thing any hospital needs at the 989 00:40:09,230 --> 00:40:05,769 moment a conspiracy theory fanatics 990 00:40:12,779 --> 00:40:09,240 running amok through their corridors 991 00:40:15,930 --> 00:40:12,789 2012 saw the award go to Fran Sheffield 992 00:40:19,259 --> 00:40:15,940 of homeopathy Plus for advocating the 993 00:40:21,690 --> 00:40:19,269 use of magical sugar and water in place 994 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:21,700 of tried and true vaccinations for many 995 00:40:26,130 --> 00:40:22,930 deadly diseases 996 00:40:28,500 --> 00:40:26,140 most notably whooping cough this time 997 00:40:30,839 --> 00:40:28,510 around Sheffield is pushing the bizarre 998 00:40:33,839 --> 00:40:30,849 notion that homeopathy can help prevent 999 00:40:37,680 --> 00:40:33,849 kovat 19 and points to its use in India 1000 00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:37,690 she also implied there was a conspiracy 1001 00:40:47,099 --> 00:40:40,210 to delete information of a homeopathic 1002 00:40:49,290 --> 00:40:47,109 kovat 19 treatment in 2016 it was Judi 1003 00:40:51,450 --> 00:40:49,300 while Eamonn Brian Martin and the 1004 00:40:54,329 --> 00:40:51,460 University of Wollongong for awarding 1005 00:40:57,859 --> 00:40:54,339 why Lehmann and doctorate on the basis 1006 00:41:00,349 --> 00:40:57,869 of a PhD thesis riddled with errors 1007 00:41:03,380 --> 00:41:00,359 misstatements poor and unsupported 1008 00:41:06,420 --> 00:41:03,390 evidence and conspiratorial thinking 1009 00:41:08,670 --> 00:41:06,430 while Eamonn - via an online video 1010 00:41:11,609 --> 00:41:08,680 questioned whether there really is a 1011 00:41:13,650 --> 00:41:11,619 pandemic advocating that social 1012 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:13,660 distancing and the banning of gatherings 1013 00:41:18,450 --> 00:41:15,970 are not necessary in this current 1014 00:41:20,730 --> 00:41:18,460 outbreak this advice flies in the face 1015 00:41:23,370 --> 00:41:20,740 of the best medical advice and we've 1016 00:41:25,170 --> 00:41:23,380 sadly seen the results so far in 1017 00:41:28,789 --> 00:41:25,180 countries where action was taken too 1018 00:41:31,650 --> 00:41:28,799 late the video has since been taken down 1019 00:41:34,020 --> 00:41:31,660 we will keep an eye out in case any 1020 00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:34,030 other past winners are keen to win the 1021 00:41:39,809 --> 00:41:36,970 bent spoon again in 2020 but we would 1022 00:41:43,859 --> 00:41:39,819 warn them the competition this year is 1023 00:41:49,810 --> 00:41:47,170 and that was past bent spoon winners vie 1024 00:41:52,450 --> 00:41:49,820 for the dishonor in 2020 by Richard 1025 00:41:54,430 --> 00:41:52,460 Saunders and Tim Mendham and you can 1026 00:41:57,030 --> 00:41:54,440 read that by following the link in this 1027 00:42:12,940 --> 00:41:57,040 week's show notes or just going to WW 1028 00:42:15,940 --> 00:42:12,950 skeptics calm donate you oh hi Maynard 1029 00:42:18,940 --> 00:42:15,950 oh hi Heidi great they're in this park 1030 00:42:19,990 --> 00:42:18,950 yeah if you like that sort of thing look 1031 00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:20,000 over there 1032 00:42:29,650 --> 00:42:23,450 oh yeah we there are no such things as 1033 00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:29,660 URIs silly hmm might be just dog a big 1034 00:42:36,310 --> 00:42:32,090 dog I think it's a King Charles Spaniel 1035 00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:36,320 thing mmm no no no no it's a Yowie may 1036 00:42:43,510 --> 00:42:39,050 nod if it's a choice between it being a 1037 00:42:46,390 --> 00:42:43,520 dog or a Yowie no no no it co e ya e ya 1038 00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:46,400 e ya e ya e argument from Authority 1039 00:42:53,530 --> 00:42:50,690 it's yo E are you - what are you arguing 1040 00:42:57,150 --> 00:42:53,540 about may not thinks that dog lookin 1041 00:43:01,450 --> 00:42:57,160 thing over there is a Yowie oh yeah we 1042 00:43:04,750 --> 00:43:01,460 well maybe Chu Becker the wookie over 1043 00:43:07,420 --> 00:43:04,760 her I see okay we better look this up in 1044 00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:07,430 the skeptics dictionary online though 1045 00:43:12,670 --> 00:43:10,010 Wow the skeptics dictionary online 1046 00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:12,680 features definitions arguments and 1047 00:43:17,740 --> 00:43:15,290 essays on hundreds of strange beliefs 1048 00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:17,750 amusing descriptions and dangerous 1049 00:43:23,500 --> 00:43:20,810 delusions also features dozens of 1050 00:43:27,660 --> 00:43:23,510 entries on logical fallacies cognitive 1051 00:43:38,970 --> 00:43:27,670 biases perception science and philosophy 1052 00:43:43,540 --> 00:43:38,980 it's w WS k EP d IC comment right ha d 1053 00:43:47,940 --> 00:43:43,550 prepared to be amazed okay 1054 00:43:51,460 --> 00:43:47,950 ah here it is send a Bigfoot it says 1055 00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:51,470 most scientists discount the evidence of 1056 00:43:56,530 --> 00:43:53,570 Bigfoot because the evidence supporting 1057 00:43:59,140 --> 00:43:56,540 belief in the survival of the historic 1058 00:44:02,620 --> 00:43:59,150 biped ape-like creature of such 1059 00:44:10,740 --> 00:44:02,630 dimensions is scant you know maybe that 1060 00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:10,750 is just Chewbacca after all thank you 1061 00:44:34,450 --> 00:44:28,970 skeptics dictionary online and now a 1062 00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:34,460 reading from the book of Tim with Tim 1063 00:44:47,620 --> 00:44:36,970 Mendham 1064 00:44:50,170 --> 00:44:47,630 executive officer of Australian skeptics 1065 00:44:53,170 --> 00:44:50,180 Inc and I'm also editor of our magazine 1066 00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:53,180 the skeptic today I'd like to read a 1067 00:44:59,039 --> 00:44:56,450 book review called the hand of God which 1068 00:45:04,269 --> 00:44:59,049 appeared in the skeptic magazine June 1069 00:45:06,099 --> 00:45:04,279 2016 which is vol 36 number 2 and the 1070 00:45:08,130 --> 00:45:06,109 review in question is of a book by Joe 1071 00:45:10,240 --> 00:45:08,140 Nickell who's a very famous 1072 00:45:12,370 --> 00:45:10,250 paranormalists paranormal investigator 1073 00:45:26,499 --> 00:45:12,380 and it's his book is called the science 1074 00:45:28,359 --> 00:45:26,509 of miracles now I have a problem this is 1075 00:45:30,940 --> 00:45:28,369 me speaking I have a problem with 1076 00:45:32,319 --> 00:45:30,950 miracles not just whether they happen or 1077 00:45:34,839 --> 00:45:32,329 not but the meaning of the very word 1078 00:45:36,910 --> 00:45:34,849 miracle the Oxford Dictionary gives 1079 00:45:38,289 --> 00:45:36,920 three meanings which are an 1080 00:45:40,620 --> 00:45:38,299 extraordinary and welcome event 1081 00:45:43,509 --> 00:45:40,630 attributed to a divine agency a 1082 00:45:45,730 --> 00:45:43,519 remarkable and very welcome event or an 1083 00:45:49,240 --> 00:45:45,740 outstanding example specimen or 1084 00:45:51,190 --> 00:45:49,250 achievement in the media's coverage of 1085 00:45:53,049 --> 00:45:51,200 surprising events and happy endings such 1086 00:45:55,720 --> 00:45:53,059 as finding a kid who's been lost in the 1087 00:45:57,460 --> 00:45:55,730 Japanese forest for a week they far too 1088 00:46:00,249 --> 00:45:57,470 often resort to calling it a miracle 1089 00:46:03,190 --> 00:46:00,259 it's hard to distinguish which meaning 1090 00:46:04,839 --> 00:46:03,200 is being used in the case of the wonders 1091 00:46:07,539 --> 00:46:04,849 of Saints curative powers it is 1092 00:46:09,490 --> 00:46:07,549 obviously the first definition but we 1093 00:46:11,470 --> 00:46:09,500 won't go into here whether that's an 1094 00:46:14,079 --> 00:46:11,480 accurate description of events using the 1095 00:46:15,970 --> 00:46:14,089 divine agency interpretation in relation 1096 00:46:17,769 --> 00:46:15,980 to such events as finding surviving 1097 00:46:20,200 --> 00:46:17,779 people under the ruins after an 1098 00:46:24,309 --> 00:46:20,210 earthquake or the lost kid in Japan is 1099 00:46:26,140 --> 00:46:24,319 logically problematic if it is divine 1100 00:46:28,450 --> 00:46:26,150 agency that saves a handful of people 1101 00:46:30,609 --> 00:46:28,460 from the ruins and surely it is divine 1102 00:46:31,769 --> 00:46:30,619 agency that sent the other 200-thousand 1103 00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:31,779 to their deaths 1104 00:46:35,769 --> 00:46:33,650 apparently the Lord giveth with 1105 00:46:39,130 --> 00:46:35,779 restraint and taketh away by the 1106 00:46:41,769 --> 00:46:39,140 bucketful the other problem with divine 1107 00:46:44,410 --> 00:46:41,779 agency in such cases is that it ignores 1108 00:46:46,230 --> 00:46:44,420 even denies the efforts of masses of 1109 00:46:48,249 --> 00:46:46,240 real-life people working to create 1110 00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:48,259 outstanding achievements using 1111 00:46:53,070 --> 00:46:50,690 remarkable efforts with their bare hands 1112 00:46:55,420 --> 00:46:53,080 if it's and persist 1113 00:46:58,240 --> 00:46:55,430 that's the divine apparently looks down 1114 00:47:00,390 --> 00:46:58,250 with disdain on the little people being 1115 00:47:02,530 --> 00:47:00,400 given credit for what he/she did not do 1116 00:47:05,110 --> 00:47:02,540 unless of course you believed that the 1117 00:47:08,140 --> 00:47:05,120 divine entity worked within the rescuers 1118 00:47:09,580 --> 00:47:08,150 they were the Divine's instrument but 1119 00:47:11,530 --> 00:47:09,590 that just brings you back to divine 1120 00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:11,540 powers and divine responsibility for the 1121 00:47:16,900 --> 00:47:14,450 natural disaster or cancer condition or 1122 00:47:19,780 --> 00:47:16,910 fatal car crash in the first place or 1123 00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:19,790 the kid lost in the forest the human 1124 00:47:25,720 --> 00:47:23,450 element is lost Joe Nickell has similar 1125 00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:25,730 problems with miracles what they are how 1126 00:47:31,150 --> 00:47:27,770 to define them can you study them 1127 00:47:33,370 --> 00:47:31,160 scientifically and do they exist in his 1128 00:47:34,990 --> 00:47:33,380 book the science of miracles he finds 1129 00:47:37,210 --> 00:47:35,000 issue with the argument from ignorant 1130 00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:37,220 situation well if you don't know why 1131 00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:38,690 something happened that it must be God 1132 00:47:43,420 --> 00:47:41,330 and the follow-up question if it is the 1133 00:47:45,820 --> 00:47:43,430 hand of God involved and whose God are 1134 00:47:47,470 --> 00:47:45,830 we talking about Nicholas of course one 1135 00:47:49,630 --> 00:47:47,480 of the most famous investigators of the 1136 00:47:51,130 --> 00:47:49,640 paranormal in the world today having 1137 00:47:52,810 --> 00:47:51,140 spent almost 50 years looking at 1138 00:47:55,180 --> 00:47:52,820 everything from unknown creatures and 1139 00:47:57,670 --> 00:47:55,190 strange artifacts to weird constructions 1140 00:47:59,980 --> 00:47:57,680 and miracles he says that his approach 1141 00:48:02,590 --> 00:47:59,990 has been to avoid quote putting the 1142 00:48:05,290 --> 00:48:02,600 proverbial cart before the horse that is 1143 00:48:07,690 --> 00:48:05,300 I have refused to decide antecedent to 1144 00:48:10,420 --> 00:48:07,700 inquiry whether or not a miracle could 1145 00:48:12,850 --> 00:48:10,430 exist I have therefore tried to avoid 1146 00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:12,860 the approach of believers and debunkers 1147 00:48:17,110 --> 00:48:15,410 who may start with a desired or expected 1148 00:48:20,050 --> 00:48:17,120 answer and work backwards to the 1149 00:48:21,220 --> 00:48:20,060 evidence in other words starting with 1150 00:48:23,650 --> 00:48:21,230 the conclusion and then finding 1151 00:48:25,870 --> 00:48:23,660 something to support it this means 1152 00:48:27,850 --> 00:48:25,880 investigating specific cases quote 1153 00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:27,860 trying to discover the best evidence and 1154 00:48:32,530 --> 00:48:30,290 let it lead to the most likely solution 1155 00:48:36,070 --> 00:48:32,540 using established principles of 1156 00:48:38,230 --> 00:48:36,080 scientific inquiry now it would be 1157 00:48:40,570 --> 00:48:38,240 churlish not to admit that that process 1158 00:48:42,190 --> 00:48:40,580 has in most if not all of Nichols 1159 00:48:45,370 --> 00:48:42,200 investigations led to the conclusion 1160 00:48:48,420 --> 00:48:45,380 that a man-made explanation is much more 1161 00:48:51,610 --> 00:48:48,430 likely than a paranormal or divine one 1162 00:48:53,710 --> 00:48:51,620 this book subtitle is investigating the 1163 00:48:55,720 --> 00:48:53,720 incredible and he does say in his 1164 00:48:57,990 --> 00:48:55,730 introduction that we should check our 1165 00:49:00,610 --> 00:48:58,000 emotions and rely on reason and evidence 1166 00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:00,620 seeing as I have long held that the 1167 00:49:05,890 --> 00:49:02,450 progress of science is a series of 1168 00:49:06,430 --> 00:49:05,900 solved mysteries the results of his 1169 00:49:08,859 --> 00:49:06,440 endeavors 1170 00:49:11,859 --> 00:49:08,869 the solved mysteries therefore may not 1171 00:49:13,599 --> 00:49:11,869 be that surprising to skeptics in the 1172 00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:13,609 past it has been described as a miracle 1173 00:49:17,950 --> 00:49:16,130 detective and miracles have played a big 1174 00:49:20,680 --> 00:49:17,960 part in his career both as an 1175 00:49:22,750 --> 00:49:20,690 investigator and as an author his first 1176 00:49:26,109 --> 00:49:22,760 book was inquest on the Shroud of Turin 1177 00:49:27,579 --> 00:49:26,119 and that came out in 1992 and that's a 1178 00:49:30,970 --> 00:49:27,589 topic that he says has proved to be a 1179 00:49:32,950 --> 00:49:30,980 millstone to him as he has had to return 1180 00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:32,960 to it time and again called upon to 1181 00:49:37,270 --> 00:49:34,970 react to the latest claim of miraculous 1182 00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:37,280 conclusions since then he is authored 1183 00:49:41,349 --> 00:49:38,210 looking for a miracle 1184 00:49:43,740 --> 00:49:41,359 weeping icons relic stigmata visions and 1185 00:49:46,690 --> 00:49:43,750 healing hewers and relics of the Christ 1186 00:49:49,390 --> 00:49:46,700 his latest book the science of miracles 1187 00:49:51,460 --> 00:49:49,400 actually came out in 2013 but is a 1188 00:49:53,770 --> 00:49:51,470 summation of all that has gone before in 1189 00:49:56,620 --> 00:49:53,780 Nichols investigations and is a primer 1190 00:49:58,740 --> 00:49:56,630 on religious phenomena he divides it 1191 00:50:01,500 --> 00:49:58,750 into six sections miraculous effigies 1192 00:50:04,630 --> 00:50:01,510 magical relics miracle healings 1193 00:50:07,450 --> 00:50:04,640 visionary experiences saintly powers and 1194 00:50:09,370 --> 00:50:07,460 the devil's work the last covering a 1195 00:50:11,589 --> 00:50:09,380 range of satanic phenomena from 1196 00:50:13,779 --> 00:50:11,599 footprints to possessions and hauntings 1197 00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:13,789 each of these sections is subdivided 1198 00:50:18,940 --> 00:50:16,130 into specific cases giving 57 1199 00:50:21,190 --> 00:50:18,950 particularly quote miraculous phenomena 1200 00:50:25,390 --> 00:50:21,200 to investigate let's look at one of 1201 00:50:26,740 --> 00:50:25,400 those the miracle of Fatima most readers 1202 00:50:28,630 --> 00:50:26,750 will know that this involves three 1203 00:50:30,490 --> 00:50:28,640 Portuguese children who witnessed in one 1204 00:50:33,819 --> 00:50:30,500 way or another a vision of Mary 1205 00:50:35,769 --> 00:50:33,829 Magdalene in 1917 on the 13th to the 1206 00:50:37,240 --> 00:50:35,779 next six months they saw and for at 1207 00:50:39,370 --> 00:50:37,250 least one of the children talked with a 1208 00:50:41,410 --> 00:50:39,380 figure increasingly large crowds 1209 00:50:43,690 --> 00:50:41,420 gathered to witness if not the vision 1210 00:50:46,450 --> 00:50:43,700 and associated manifestations such as 1211 00:50:49,140 --> 00:50:46,460 the Sun dancing rain soaked ground 1212 00:50:51,190 --> 00:50:49,150 subtly drying and a fall of petals 1213 00:50:53,230 --> 00:50:51,200 different people describe different 1214 00:50:54,609 --> 00:50:53,240 things and on one month the children 1215 00:50:57,430 --> 00:50:54,619 were kept away by authorities for 1216 00:50:59,710 --> 00:50:57,440 questioning though Nichols doesn't say 1217 00:51:02,380 --> 00:50:59,720 what if any manifestations occurred on 1218 00:51:04,870 --> 00:51:02,390 that occasion at the same time as the 1219 00:51:07,329 --> 00:51:04,880 visions mary magdalene gave the oldest 1220 00:51:09,670 --> 00:51:07,339 child would share three secrets they 1221 00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:09,680 were only revealed later the first two 1222 00:51:13,839 --> 00:51:11,450 several years after the events that were 1223 00:51:15,940 --> 00:51:13,849 predicted the first a vision of hell and 1224 00:51:18,279 --> 00:51:15,950 the premature death for the two youngest 1225 00:51:19,420 --> 00:51:18,289 children and a second the end of World 1226 00:51:21,650 --> 00:51:19,430 War one 1227 00:51:24,710 --> 00:51:21,660 Nicoll appeared in the documentary when 1228 00:51:26,749 --> 00:51:24,720 the third secret was revealed in 2000 by 1229 00:51:30,710 --> 00:51:26,759 the then Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger and 1230 00:51:32,180 --> 00:51:30,720 later pope benedict xvi it turned out 1231 00:51:33,650 --> 00:51:32,190 that this was a rambling vision that 1232 00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:33,660 depicted among other things a 1233 00:51:38,269 --> 00:51:35,970 sword-wielding angel Mary coming to the 1234 00:51:41,749 --> 00:51:38,279 rescue and a bishop killed by soldiers 1235 00:51:43,339 --> 00:51:41,759 with bullets and arrows Nikol spends as 1236 00:51:44,990 --> 00:51:43,349 much time at the background of lechia 1237 00:51:47,660 --> 00:51:45,000 the influential leader of the children 1238 00:51:49,970 --> 00:51:47,670 and the secrets as he does on the 1239 00:51:52,009 --> 00:51:49,980 visions themselves he looks at Lucia's 1240 00:51:54,109 --> 00:51:52,019 background which included her prevision 1241 00:51:56,240 --> 00:51:54,119 performances dancing and singing in 1242 00:51:58,609 --> 00:51:56,250 public and telling stories of quote 1243 00:52:00,950 --> 00:51:58,619 fairy tales biblical narratives and 1244 00:52:03,079 --> 00:52:00,960 Saints legend which made her popular 1245 00:52:06,620 --> 00:52:03,089 with village children and the ability to 1246 00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:06,630 pressure others to do her bidding this 1247 00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:07,890 might give an impression of a child 1248 00:52:13,609 --> 00:52:10,170 being a tad more consciously and coldly 1249 00:52:15,499 --> 00:52:13,619 manipulative then lechia perhaps was but 1250 00:52:18,410 --> 00:52:15,509 a telling part of the tale are her 1251 00:52:20,740 --> 00:52:18,420 visions of a snow-white figure on at 1252 00:52:23,809 --> 00:52:20,750 least three occasions and later an angel 1253 00:52:26,569 --> 00:52:23,819 these happening years before the Fatima 1254 00:52:28,430 --> 00:52:26,579 visions Nikol also points out the 1255 00:52:31,069 --> 00:52:28,440 Lucia's mother described the children's 1256 00:52:34,099 --> 00:52:31,079 narrative as childish nonsense and 1257 00:52:37,220 --> 00:52:34,109 lechia herself is nothing but a fake who 1258 00:52:39,470 --> 00:52:37,230 is leading half the world astray an 1259 00:52:41,329 --> 00:52:39,480 issue with the Phantom stories as with 1260 00:52:44,059 --> 00:52:41,339 many claimed miracles and manifestations 1261 00:52:46,910 --> 00:52:44,069 from the past is the reliability of 1262 00:52:48,890 --> 00:52:46,920 witnesses Nikol points this out in 1263 00:52:51,140 --> 00:52:48,900 reference to the accounts by members of 1264 00:52:53,390 --> 00:52:51,150 the crowd who witnessed the Sun dancing 1265 00:52:56,839 --> 00:52:53,400 etc accounts that were given both at the 1266 00:52:59,059 --> 00:52:56,849 time and later often much later but he 1267 00:53:01,160 --> 00:52:59,069 does need to rely on the descriptions as 1268 00:53:02,809 --> 00:53:01,170 retold by investigators who have looked 1269 00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:02,819 at the miracles at a great distance in 1270 00:53:08,029 --> 00:53:05,970 time from the actual events Nikol has 1271 00:53:10,519 --> 00:53:08,039 broad experience of many claims having 1272 00:53:12,710 --> 00:53:10,529 investigated them personally on-site and 1273 00:53:15,019 --> 00:53:12,720 at the time but in many of the cases 1274 00:53:18,230 --> 00:53:15,029 described here he relies on third-party 1275 00:53:20,390 --> 00:53:18,240 assessments this is unavoidable whether 1276 00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:20,400 some like Avila this the apparent 1277 00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:22,170 inconsistencies of the eyewitness 1278 00:53:26,390 --> 00:53:24,450 accounts the past histories of those 1279 00:53:27,650 --> 00:53:26,400 involved and in this case the fact that 1280 00:53:29,660 --> 00:53:27,660 the secrets were written down and 1281 00:53:32,029 --> 00:53:29,670 revealed much later than the events they 1282 00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:32,039 foretold are enough evidence to cast 1283 00:53:35,220 --> 00:53:33,130 doubt at least 1284 00:53:38,490 --> 00:53:35,230 over the miracles if not to dismiss them 1285 00:53:40,140 --> 00:53:38,500 entirely Nikhil sift through the 1286 00:53:43,289 --> 00:53:40,150 evidence and comes to the conclusion 1287 00:53:44,940 --> 00:53:43,299 that where he finishes by saying that 1288 00:53:46,499 --> 00:53:44,950 debate on the Fatima visions will 1289 00:53:48,089 --> 00:53:46,509 continue that is somewhat disappointing 1290 00:53:49,980 --> 00:53:48,099 but probably in line with proper 1291 00:53:51,990 --> 00:53:49,990 scientific method we have a good 1292 00:53:54,720 --> 00:53:52,000 indication of probability but absolute 1293 00:53:57,450 --> 00:53:54,730 100 percent certainty is elusive and 1294 00:53:59,819 --> 00:53:57,460 perhaps unobtainable in his relating of 1295 00:54:02,430 --> 00:53:59,829 the Fatima miracle Nikhil does not get 1296 00:54:04,200 --> 00:54:02,440 into the grey Nia's detail 7 pages is 1297 00:54:06,329 --> 00:54:04,210 devoted to that particular miracle and 1298 00:54:07,620 --> 00:54:06,339 it's hardly enough for that and to do 1299 00:54:08,220 --> 00:54:07,630 that would require a whole book in its 1300 00:54:10,740 --> 00:54:08,230 own right 1301 00:54:12,839 --> 00:54:10,750 and there have been many of those in 1302 00:54:14,670 --> 00:54:12,849 this chapter as in the others he gives a 1303 00:54:16,680 --> 00:54:14,680 summary of the events witness accounts 1304 00:54:20,339 --> 00:54:16,690 and the background to put the miracle in 1305 00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:20,349 context he assesses the evidence often 1306 00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:22,410 resting on theories of contagion 1307 00:54:26,670 --> 00:54:24,490 proliferation of accounts that build on 1308 00:54:28,609 --> 00:54:26,680 each other sharing details that were not 1309 00:54:31,410 --> 00:54:28,619 part of original depictions and 1310 00:54:33,930 --> 00:54:31,420 retrofitting fitting original claims to 1311 00:54:36,509 --> 00:54:33,940 later but past events in a sometimes 1312 00:54:38,940 --> 00:54:36,519 desperate attempt to prove a paranormal 1313 00:54:41,849 --> 00:54:38,950 ability much as those supporting 1314 00:54:44,089 --> 00:54:41,859 Nostradamus as suppose predictions we've 1315 00:54:46,170 --> 00:54:44,099 a tenuous relationship between vague 1316 00:54:48,150 --> 00:54:46,180 prognostications and current occurrences 1317 00:54:50,220 --> 00:54:48,160 they often apply with equal conviction 1318 00:54:54,599 --> 00:54:50,230 two different occurrences over periods 1319 00:54:56,999 --> 00:54:54,609 of time Nikhil writes as he always does 1320 00:54:58,999 --> 00:54:57,009 clearly and concisely they're not 1321 00:55:01,230 --> 00:54:59,009 exactly with a great deal of humor 1322 00:55:02,460 --> 00:55:01,240 dispassionate scientific investigation 1323 00:55:04,440 --> 00:55:02,470 property doesn't allow that 1324 00:55:06,029 --> 00:55:04,450 could he have covered more miracles in 1325 00:55:08,220 --> 00:55:06,039 this book certainly that would make it 1326 00:55:10,529 --> 00:55:08,230 encyclopedia and we said he wrote this 1327 00:55:12,900 --> 00:55:10,539 as a primer an overview of the 50-plus 1328 00:55:14,849 --> 00:55:12,910 most famous cases and covers a broad 1329 00:55:17,130 --> 00:55:14,859 range from devil footprints in 19th 1330 00:55:19,890 --> 00:55:17,140 century Devon to the Book of Mormon and 1331 00:55:21,089 --> 00:55:19,900 raising the dead and he's recommended 1332 00:55:23,069 --> 00:55:21,099 and will hopefully lead you to look at 1333 00:55:24,990 --> 00:55:23,079 his other books those which take a 1334 00:55:26,849 --> 00:55:25,000 similarly broad review as this one and 1335 00:55:29,190 --> 00:55:26,859 those which look more closely at 1336 00:55:31,740 --> 00:55:29,200 specific cases including Nichols 1337 00:55:33,900 --> 00:55:31,750 millstone of the Shroud of Turin on a 1338 00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:33,910 final note it is interesting to recount 1339 00:55:38,190 --> 00:55:35,650 one case where nickel plays an active 1340 00:55:41,519 --> 00:55:38,200 role this is the film the reaping 1341 00:55:43,349 --> 00:55:41,529 released in 2007 and which features an 1342 00:55:46,380 --> 00:55:43,359 investigator that Nichols says was based 1343 00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:46,390 on him at the film centers around an 1344 00:55:49,260 --> 00:55:47,050 exhibition 1345 00:55:51,510 --> 00:55:49,270 who loses their faith finds their faith 1346 00:55:54,630 --> 00:55:51,520 and fights a replay of the biblical ten 1347 00:55:56,550 --> 00:55:54,640 plagues in the bayous of Louisiana and 1348 00:55:58,020 --> 00:55:56,560 who's also a woman means that it's not 1349 00:56:00,570 --> 00:55:58,030 exactly an accurate depiction of his 1350 00:56:02,730 --> 00:56:00,580 life Nikol was a consultant to the film 1351 00:56:03,500 --> 00:56:02,740 visiting the set and meeting the real 1352 00:56:06,600 --> 00:56:03,510 him 1353 00:56:08,760 --> 00:56:06,610 represented by Hilary Swank he later 1354 00:56:10,710 --> 00:56:08,770 told the 14 times surely one of the more 1355 00:56:13,380 --> 00:56:10,720 enjoyable publications in the paranormal 1356 00:56:15,210 --> 00:56:13,390 field that I liked the first 10 or 15 1357 00:56:17,910 --> 00:56:15,220 minutes where the character seemed to be 1358 00:56:19,260 --> 00:56:17,920 doing something similar to what I do but 1359 00:56:20,040 --> 00:56:19,270 then it changed into the world of the 1360 00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:20,050 supernatural 1361 00:56:24,390 --> 00:56:21,970 which for good or evil has never 1362 00:56:26,880 --> 00:56:24,400 happened to me I've never had frogs rain 1363 00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:26,890 down upon me the film has generally been 1364 00:56:31,140 --> 00:56:29,170 panned by critics that one could 1365 00:56:33,390 --> 00:56:31,150 unkindly suggest that its actual release 1366 00:56:37,950 --> 00:56:33,400 was something of a miracle in its own 1367 00:56:39,990 --> 00:56:37,960 right that's being book review called 1368 00:56:47,340 --> 00:56:40,000 the hand of God that appeared in a 1369 00:56:49,350 --> 00:56:47,350 skeptic magazine June 2016 and you can 1370 00:56:51,030 --> 00:56:49,360 download that issue and many more issues 1371 00:56:56,460 --> 00:56:51,040 of the skeptic magazine from our web 1372 00:56:59,370 --> 00:56:56,470 site www.kpbs.org/news/evening and 1373 00:57:01,170 --> 00:56:59,380 scroll down and you'll find 39 years 1374 00:57:05,590 --> 00:57:01,180 worth of skeptical publications for you 1375 00:57:05,600 --> 00:57:22,660 [Music] 1376 00:57:28,240 --> 00:57:25,250 thank you for listening to the skeptic 1377 00:57:31,250 --> 00:57:28,250 zone with richardsaunders 1378 00:57:32,960 --> 00:57:31,260 hey Celeste your word today yeah thank 1379 00:57:35,390 --> 00:57:32,970 you very much for being the co-host this 1380 00:57:37,069 --> 00:57:35,400 week now of course you're uh you're 1381 00:57:39,890 --> 00:57:37,079 quite used to being a co-host because 1382 00:57:42,740 --> 00:57:39,900 you co-host the fabulous podcast 1383 00:57:45,589 --> 00:57:42,750 squaring the strange with Pascale and 1384 00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:45,599 Ben yes and you know I still feel like a 1385 00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:48,210 rookie every week because I mean as you 1386 00:57:51,849 --> 00:57:49,650 well know there's always some new 1387 00:57:55,700 --> 00:57:51,859 problem that crops up with podcasting 1388 00:57:58,010 --> 00:57:55,710 technology or internet connections or 1389 00:58:00,109 --> 00:57:58,020 what have you so every week it's an 1390 00:58:01,430 --> 00:58:00,119 adventure tonight actually we're doing 1391 00:58:04,220 --> 00:58:01,440 something special that we've never done 1392 00:58:06,200 --> 00:58:04,230 before it kind of inspired by the free 1393 00:58:09,319 --> 00:58:06,210 time that people are experiencing during 1394 00:58:12,260 --> 00:58:09,329 this isolation period we're gonna be 1395 00:58:14,150 --> 00:58:12,270 having a watch party where people people 1396 00:58:17,299 --> 00:58:14,160 can join us and watch a terrible 1397 00:58:23,020 --> 00:58:17,309 terrible Mexican movie about a 1398 00:58:28,609 --> 00:58:26,720 okay yes it sounds like there's a whole 1399 00:58:30,680 --> 00:58:28,619 lot of interesting twists and turns and 1400 00:58:33,770 --> 00:58:30,690 the chupacabra ends up at a strip club 1401 00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:33,780 and I can't wait to see this show now 1402 00:58:39,260 --> 00:58:35,490 how long is squaring the strange being 1403 00:58:41,720 --> 00:58:39,270 on the air on the internet ah three 1404 00:58:43,339 --> 00:58:41,730 years now it's just it's we just 1405 00:58:45,079 --> 00:58:43,349 celebrated our third anniversary yeah 1406 00:58:46,339 --> 00:58:45,089 and I've been having a fun time there's 1407 00:58:48,079 --> 00:58:46,349 there's just no shortage of topics 1408 00:58:48,470 --> 00:58:48,089 there's a lot of strange things out 1409 00:58:51,500 --> 00:58:48,480 there 1410 00:58:53,900 --> 00:58:51,510 yeah and just recently because I always 1411 00:58:55,520 --> 00:58:53,910 listen to a skeptical podcast or two 1412 00:58:57,829 --> 00:58:55,530 when I'm doing my government-authorized 1413 00:58:59,299 --> 00:58:57,839 daily works I listen to the latest 1414 00:59:01,520 --> 00:58:59,309 episode of squaring the strange which 1415 00:59:03,109 --> 00:59:01,530 was sort of an anniversary episode but 1416 00:59:04,849 --> 00:59:03,119 the two episodes before that were 1417 00:59:07,370 --> 00:59:04,859 two-part special all about psychic 1418 00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:07,380 detectives yes that was very important 1419 00:59:12,470 --> 00:59:09,690 to bend to to get us all involved in 1420 00:59:15,740 --> 00:59:12,480 doing a bit of a real-time investigation 1421 00:59:17,420 --> 00:59:15,750 into psychic detectives which you are no 1422 00:59:19,819 --> 00:59:17,430 stranger to you've been spending a lot 1423 00:59:22,160 --> 00:59:19,829 of time tracking psychic predictions and 1424 00:59:25,190 --> 00:59:22,170 yeah what comes true and what absolutely 1425 00:59:27,410 --> 00:59:25,200 does not yeah I certainly have it it's 1426 00:59:27,799 --> 00:59:27,420 at endless fascinating rabbit hole oh 1427 00:59:30,550 --> 00:59:27,809 really 1428 00:59:32,770 --> 00:59:30,560 yes so that folks I can recommend 1429 00:59:34,270 --> 00:59:32,780 you after you listen to the skeptics and 1430 00:59:36,880 --> 00:59:34,280 of course you go and check out if you've 1431 00:59:38,730 --> 00:59:36,890 not already squaring the strange it's 1432 00:59:42,250 --> 00:59:38,740 one of certainly one of the better 1433 00:59:43,960 --> 00:59:42,260 podcasts in the podcast world when you 1434 00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:43,970 consider there must be tens of thousands 1435 00:59:47,620 --> 00:59:45,890 of podcasts now that's one I would 1436 00:59:49,630 --> 00:59:47,630 certainly recommend well thank you 1437 00:59:51,700 --> 00:59:49,640 Richard and and I think there's gonna be 1438 00:59:54,250 --> 00:59:51,710 many more after this pandemic is over I 1439 00:59:56,440 --> 00:59:54,260 think you'll find that probably a half 1440 00:59:58,270 --> 00:59:56,450 the continent will have taken up 1441 01:00:00,370 --> 00:59:58,280 podcasting in one form or another oh 1442 01:00:02,470 --> 01:00:00,380 that's right maybe we should just quit 1443 01:00:04,450 --> 01:00:02,480 our podcast and become consultants what 1444 01:00:10,690 --> 01:00:04,460 do you think ah good idea we could 1445 01:00:12,460 --> 01:00:10,700 charge it'll be a pyramid scheme there's 1446 01:00:14,590 --> 01:00:12,470 a nice pyramid in Las Vegas I remember 1447 01:00:18,100 --> 01:00:14,600 that now speaking of charging base 1448 01:00:19,780 --> 01:00:18,110 speaking of charging now we don't we 1449 01:00:21,880 --> 01:00:19,790 don't charge for our podcasts of course 1450 01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:21,890 but we do rely on the generosity of 1451 01:00:26,950 --> 01:00:24,290 people who think they're worthy enough 1452 01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:26,960 to chip in and contribute and I know 1453 01:00:31,390 --> 01:00:28,490 that you are squaring the strange 1454 01:00:32,860 --> 01:00:31,400 probably go that extra step further than 1455 01:00:35,140 --> 01:00:32,870 that the sceptics and you send out 1456 01:00:39,940 --> 01:00:35,150 little little packages to your 1457 01:00:42,070 --> 01:00:39,950 subscribers I love to send swag yes you 1458 01:00:43,570 --> 01:00:42,080 come up with little bundles of a few 1459 01:00:45,430 --> 01:00:43,580 things here and there that we send out 1460 01:00:47,530 --> 01:00:45,440 to regular patrons and and of course 1461 01:00:49,630 --> 01:00:47,540 you've got a nice setup with with PayPal 1462 01:00:52,360 --> 01:00:49,640 so people can have multiple ways of 1463 01:00:54,340 --> 01:00:52,370 contributing to your podcast yeah I do 1464 01:00:56,050 --> 01:00:54,350 its PayPal or patreon and if you 1465 01:00:58,210 --> 01:00:56,060 subscribe at the skeptic zone at a 1466 01:00:59,740 --> 01:00:58,220 certain level at patreon then you do get 1467 01:01:02,140 --> 01:00:59,750 a little bit of swag I do send you out 1468 01:01:04,150 --> 01:01:02,150 some goodies which might include some an 1469 01:01:05,320 --> 01:01:04,160 origami Pegasus or a James Randi 1470 01:01:08,530 --> 01:01:05,330 autograph or something like that anyway 1471 01:01:10,180 --> 01:01:08,540 check it out at skeptic zone TV or 1472 01:01:11,620 --> 01:01:10,190 Celestia if they want to check out 1473 01:01:15,130 --> 01:01:11,630 squaring the strange where do they go 1474 01:01:17,590 --> 01:01:15,140 just type in squaring the strange to any 1475 01:01:20,230 --> 01:01:17,600 of your podcast feeders and you will 1476 01:01:22,630 --> 01:01:20,240 find us absolutely and I can recommend 1477 01:01:24,100 --> 01:01:22,640 that well thank you very much for being 1478 01:01:27,310 --> 01:01:24,110 the co-host this week this has been a 1479 01:01:29,620 --> 01:01:27,320 lot of fun my pleasure Richard and I 1480 01:01:34,420 --> 01:01:29,630 hope to see you in beautiful Las Vegas 1481 01:01:37,000 --> 01:01:34,430 when what do we say when things get back 1482 01:01:38,350 --> 01:01:37,010 to normality yeah and if they don't I 1483 01:01:40,570 --> 01:01:38,360 might just be knocking on your door 1484 01:01:41,970 --> 01:01:40,580 looking for a new place to live in 1485 01:01:43,900 --> 01:01:41,980 Australia 1486 01:01:44,440 --> 01:01:43,910 that's the deal then we could do the 1487 01:01:48,250 --> 01:01:44,450 podcast 1488 01:01:51,190 --> 01:01:48,260 together all right but for this week 1489 01:01:57,880 --> 01:01:51,200 this is Richard Saunders and Celestia 1490 01:02:00,880 --> 01:01:57,890 Ward signing off you've been listening 1491 01:02:05,650 --> 01:02:00,890 to the skeptic zone podcast please visit 1492 01:02:08,950 --> 01:02:05,660 our website at WWDC because your nodes 1493 01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:08,960 contacts and to access the bat catalog 1494 01:02:14,859 --> 01:02:13,010 of episodes going back to 2008 you can 1495 01:02:17,920 --> 01:02:14,869 follow the skeptic zone podcast on 1496 01:02:20,200 --> 01:02:17,930 twitter at skeptic zone visit our 1497 01:02:21,089 --> 01:02:20,210 facebook page or leave a review on 1498 01:02:23,770 --> 01:02:21,099 itunes 1499 01:02:27,160 --> 01:02:23,780 you can also support the skeptic zone 1500 01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:27,170 via patreon or PayPal the skeptic zone 1501 01:02:32,260 --> 01:02:29,890 podcast is an independent production 1502 01:02:34,390 --> 01:02:32,270 reviews and opinions expressed on the 1503 01:02:36,730 --> 01:02:34,400 skeptic zone are not necessarily those 1504 01:02:38,570 --> 01:02:36,740 of Australian skeptics or any other 1505 01:02:49,310 --> 01:02:38,580 sceptical organisation 1506 01:02:54,180 --> 01:02:51,660 hello to the afterthoughts the people 1507 01:02:57,210 --> 01:02:54,190 who listened after the music here's this 1508 01:02:58,650 --> 01:02:57,220 week's easter egg what's that I thought 1509 01:03:01,710 --> 01:02:58,660 I heard an aeroplane that can't be right 1510 01:03:03,780 --> 01:03:01,720 every now and then I see one it's really 1511 01:03:05,790 --> 01:03:03,790 strange this week we got to play the 1512 01:03:07,260 --> 01:03:05,800 dice game Celestia Ward in Las Vegas is 1513 01:03:09,060 --> 01:03:07,270 going to roll the dice 1514 01:03:11,040 --> 01:03:09,070 lots of dice not being rolled in Las 1515 01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:11,050 Vegas at the moment and it's up to the 1516 01:03:17,310 --> 01:03:14,410 rest of us to use our psychic 1517 01:03:19,740 --> 01:03:17,320 predictions or real dumb luck to see if 1518 01:03:21,690 --> 01:03:19,750 we can predict what numbers gonna come 1519 01:03:24,030 --> 01:03:21,700 up now what sort of dice do you have for 1520 01:03:28,200 --> 01:03:24,040 us this week's on I have some very 1521 01:03:30,270 --> 01:03:28,210 special area 51 themed dice I nicked it 1522 01:03:32,400 --> 01:03:30,280 up on the way to California there's a 1523 01:03:35,400 --> 01:03:32,410 little shop that sells a bunch of alien 1524 01:03:39,810 --> 01:03:35,410 themed products including alien jerky 1525 01:03:42,420 --> 01:03:39,820 and alien like soaps and perfumes and 1526 01:03:43,890 --> 01:03:42,430 and I got a pair of alien dice 1527 01:03:45,540 --> 01:03:43,900 so I'm they glow in the dark I think 1528 01:03:47,370 --> 01:03:45,550 you've got a pair just like this I do 1529 01:03:48,809 --> 01:03:47,380 some way yes yes you can pick one of 1530 01:03:52,680 --> 01:03:48,819 these that possibly when you were in Las 1531 01:03:54,480 --> 01:03:52,690 Vegas but I guess mine at a where I got 1532 01:04:00,380 --> 01:03:54,490 mine I got mine in the Albuquerque 1533 01:04:03,059 --> 01:04:00,390 Airport Albuquerque is kind of like a 1534 01:04:05,849 --> 01:04:03,069 neck-and-neck with like Las Vegas area 1535 01:04:13,800 --> 01:04:05,859 51 stuff we both heavily capitalized our 1536 01:04:16,200 --> 01:04:13,810 alien do this Richard dice or you want 1537 01:04:16,740 --> 01:04:16,210 to guess first or well what what we'll 1538 01:04:19,770 --> 01:04:16,750 do 1539 01:04:21,450 --> 01:04:19,780 it's excited isn't it yes okay so 1540 01:04:24,180 --> 01:04:21,460 everybody at home everybody at home 1541 01:04:25,589 --> 01:04:24,190 walking the dog in the car actually 1542 01:04:26,900 --> 01:04:25,599 you're not gonna meet in the car I know 1543 01:04:29,819 --> 01:04:26,910 some people are still in the car 1544 01:04:31,770 --> 01:04:29,829 everybody at home in the lockdown now 1545 01:04:34,140 --> 01:04:31,780 celesia is gonna roll the dice three 1546 01:04:37,260 --> 01:04:34,150 times three times and it's up to all of 1547 01:04:39,210 --> 01:04:37,270 us to try and predict what the number 1548 01:04:40,920 --> 01:04:39,220 will be so I'm gonna kick off and I'm 1549 01:04:44,499 --> 01:04:40,930 gonna predict 1550 01:04:48,359 --> 01:04:44,509 five that's my prediction Celestia 1551 01:04:52,930 --> 01:04:48,369 please roll the dice rolling the dice I 1552 01:04:55,089 --> 01:04:52,940 got five no yeah it's got four little 1553 01:04:57,160 --> 01:04:55,099 alien eyes and a little alien spaceship 1554 01:04:58,870 --> 01:04:57,170 in the middle for a five this is this is 1555 01:05:02,710 --> 01:04:58,880 a descent up folks I promise it right 1556 01:05:04,180 --> 01:05:02,720 quite real how about that okay I'm gonna 1557 01:05:06,489 --> 01:05:04,190 sponsor a trip for you to come over here 1558 01:05:08,799 --> 01:05:06,499 once things reopen so that you can win 1559 01:05:12,729 --> 01:05:08,809 some money all right all right what's 1560 01:05:14,999 --> 01:05:12,739 your next guess my next guess is - okay 1561 01:05:18,880 --> 01:05:15,009 here we go 1562 01:05:21,009 --> 01:05:18,890 fell that happens to be - it fell off 1563 01:05:26,819 --> 01:05:21,019 over the fell off of the table and it is 1564 01:05:31,029 --> 01:05:26,829 on the floor and it is a 606 oh yeah I 1565 01:05:34,900 --> 01:05:31,039 never mind okay one last time I'm going 1566 01:05:39,089 --> 01:05:34,910 to I'm going to predict I'm gonna 1567 01:05:43,120 --> 01:05:39,099 predict a one one okay here we go 1568 01:05:44,160 --> 01:05:43,130 it's a six again well you know I got off 1569 01:05:49,779 --> 01:05:44,170 to a great start 1570 01:05:51,519 --> 01:05:49,789 I really did so today's your hopes out 1571 01:05:52,989 --> 01:05:51,529 there so you'd get my hopes up I'm not 1572 01:05:55,719 --> 01:05:52,999 gonna get a Las Vegas and try my luck 1573 01:05:57,700 --> 01:05:55,729 after all - this week's winning numbers 1574 01:06:04,870 --> 01:05:57,710 if you're playing at home yeah five or